An important reason that power is expensive in the UK is that it doesn't use zonal pricing and is effectively not giving the right price signals to consumers of power to move closer to where the cheap power is (e.g. data centers) or to conserve power when power is expensive; or producers of power to invest in power generation closer to where the power is scarce and expensive.
Another point to make is that the national wholesale price of power in the UK is based on the price of the most expensive thing in the market at any point. Which now that they shut down coal is usually gas which at this point the UK mostly imports because gas production in the North Sea fields has been petering out. It no longer is the cheap resource it once was.
Even Scotland which either exports or curtails dirt cheap wind power most of the time gets to pay expensive gas rates for their power. Why is power curtailment a thing there? Because there is no price incentive to use the power. Otherwise people might be doing sane things like charging their EVs, powering their heat pumps, etc. Instead Scotland imports gas for heating and petrol for driving their cars. At the same time they curtail wind power by the GW.
Greg Jackson from Octopus (who are the largest energy operator in the UK) has been calling for this for some time. I don't live there but his name comes up a lot in several of the clean energy podcasts I follow. Smart person that has a lot of sensible things to say on this topic.
deergomoo 1 days ago [-]
> Greg Jackson from Octopus (who are the largest energy operator in the UK) has been calling for this for some time. I don't live there but his name comes up a lot in several of the clean energy podcasts I follow. Smart person that has a lot of sensible things to say on this topic.
I've got a lot of time for Octopus, which is an odd thing to say about a utility company. It's amazing how much of a difference it can make when a company makes it a. pretty easy to speak to someone when you have a problem or question (especially via email) and b. getting that problem sorted or question answered isn't so arduous you want to jump off a bridge. It once took me six months to convince British Gas to actually start charging me for my gas and electric.
Plus every time there's a price cap change or something out of the ordinary going on, they send out emails explaining it in plain English (including, as you say, reiterating the case that our pricing model is utterly daft). They also have an API for customers so you can pull your usage data, which is pretty neat.
gambiting 23 hours ago [-]
I must be the only person in the UK that has had an abysmal experience with Octopus, where they gave me a quote in writing, I attempted to sign up for it, couldn't due to "technical difficulties" on their end but got another email promising that the quote will be honoured once the difficulties are resolved....and of course once they finally fixed their system a month later they refused to honour it. I kept forwarding copies of emails they sent higher and higher up and finally was assigned a "senior customer agent" who basically said their decision is final and I can take them to an ombudsman if I want to. Then they couldn't bill me correctly for 6 months straight because no one knew why my smart meter wasn't sending them data, and then another time they literally provided incorrect information about my IHD when I asked why is the price for my tariff wrong. They are an absolutely useless company and I'd switch in a heartbeat if there was anyone else with a similar offering for charging EVs, no one else gets even close.
physicsguy 1 hours ago [-]
I've not had good experiences either as a customer.
Oddly enough I interviewed with them a few years ago (before I was a customer) and came away pretty unimpressed, I turned the offer down.
tomatocracy 10 hours ago [-]
Yes, I am a landlord and have had multiple awful experiences with them on move in/out. The worst involved them referring my tenant to a debt collector for a totally incorrect bill (issued for a period after which they were not responsible for bills, and for electricity which hadn't been consumed) while we were still trying to get them to correct it. Customer service generally seems to stop responding after the first reply.
new23d 22 hours ago [-]
Exactly the same happened with me. Picking up the phone and responding to email (in weeks, not hours or days) didn't lower my bills. This sort of marketing is perhaps deflection.
Already__Taken 22 hours ago [-]
Are you in the north of the N/S smart meter divide? I wonder if that has a lot do with experiences.
ninalanyon 5 hours ago [-]
Why does the UK have such trouble with smart meters? Everyone here, Norway, has one because they are required by the government. I haven't heard of any significant troubles and we've had them for years.
Quasi-government incompetence, mostly, though caused by government cowardace: they more or less just shouted "smart meters, do it!" at the energy industry and let them try to sort it out amongst themselves, which means they had several false starts of crap impementations (the first generation didn't think to allow them to be transferrable between providers! The issues in the North are basically because they decided to go for a low-power mesh network, which is a plan that has basically never worked), as well as the fact that the government hasn't made it a requirement for homeowners, but has made it a requirement for energy companies, so they basically just beg the current holdouts (who have little reason to want one) to let them install one.
Octopus have started doing things like connecting properties in the north to cellular type meters (not supposed to) or using Octopus Mini hubs (connects smart meters using WiFi) as a way of trying to solve the problems
danw1979 9 hours ago [-]
thanks !
tgpc 11 hours ago [-]
i like octopus' style too
but i called them to sign up, and they told me my house was two apartments. it isn't. it never has been. and when i asked them to update their data, the operator said that isn't something she can do.
i would be a customer otherwise. sigh.
7thaccount 1 days ago [-]
Zonal also has issues with congestion, lack of locational price signals, and something called inc/dec gaming. A Nodal design (like in many US wholesale markets) fixes this, but some of the key policy makers are reluctant to go in that direction as it would be a ~7 year project and would introduce revenue uncertainty in the meantime when they are trying to decarbonize and need to make it easy for developers to get financing. Both pro/against arguments for nodal pricing have merit. There have been many discussions on this in government.
Marginal cost based pricing is extremely unintuitive to those outside of the field, but nearly all economists support it. The reason is that this eliminates a lot of the gaming in pay-as-bid designs and helps incentivize investment in more efficient/cheaper generation, while driving out less efficient clunkers that may not be profitable anymore. The reality is of course far more complicated. These markets have saved untold amounts of money by optimizing over large regions, but you can also point out "missing money" problems where there simply isn't enough investment in generators with access to firm fuel (as opposed to when we just had monopoly utilities). As a result, much of the US has an "at risk" or "very high risk" of not having enough generation during summer/winter peak.
singhrac 1 days ago [-]
Yeah, I'm not sure I understand your argument here. I work in the area. I can understand revenue uncertainty, but the solution is to sign a PPA. When Texas transitioned to a nodal market many existing generators got grandfathered into zonal pricing via free options, which is doable (e.g. any project built in the next 5 years will get this free option).
Give me an example of a "missing money" problem. I don't think these problems exist when you have capacity markets or ancillary service markets with enough incentives to exist (e.g. payments for standing offline, ready to turn on).
The big issue with UK power markets is that there is no incentive to build a huge power line down the country right now that delivers power from Scotland (where there are huge wind resources) to the rest of the country. Texas did this (very very successfully) with the CREZ.
The UK has many many competent engineers and making the energy grid more efficient is an attractive opportunity for many.
7thaccount 1 days ago [-]
I've also worked in the area for many years.
PPAs typically require the bank to be counterparty and that requires a forecast of the prices that will be received in the market over a lengthy period. The folks at Ofgem talked about how going nodal would be nice, but that they are worried about it being such a big project (these markets typically take 5-7 years to go from design to implementation in the US) that would take focus away from what is already mostly working for them. Overall, completely changing the market structure leads to uncertainty that investors don't like.
The grandfather point is a good one. Something could possibly be done there, but not sure of the complications.
The missing money problem is very much a real thing. You're right that capacity markets and other resource adequacy mechanisms create side payments to fix this, but not everyone has that. Texas infamously had an energy-only design that hasn't worked out so well and is why they have so many ongoing proposals like the PCM to address the reliability issues. It is also why fast start pricing has been pushed so hard by FERC. Even with the capacity markets, there are numerous issues such as the extremely high prices in PJM that is leading to numerous lawsuits and condemnation from their independent market monitor. The markets work well at reducing costs, but there are a lot of ongoing issues being addressed in numerous stakeholder groups and at FERC.
singhrac 24 hours ago [-]
Sorry, I didn't mean to imply you hadn't, just offering a reason why I had a strong opinion.
Am I misunderstanding what you mean by counterparty? In the US, banks provide the tax equity and sometimes the project finance, but the PPA counterparty is a consumer, i.e. a utility or a large load (e.g. tech company data center). The forecast is necessary, but like I said, the uncertainty can be hedged.
Well, I'm talking about how linking a nodal market to a capacity or ancillary service market is necessary (i.e. purely nodal market without payments for reliability don't make sense). Texas's energy-only design would not have been saved from the 2021 disaster via a capacity market or a zonal price (gas availability dropped by 45%).
I think the PCM was always misguided and unnecessary (from just cursory understanding). I don't have time to respond to all the points about various capacity markets, but unfortunately a busy time of year, and will respond later.
tomatocracy 11 hours ago [-]
While it's true that the UK doesn't have nodal electricity pricing per unit of energy (and Ofgem, the regulator, agrees that this would have benefits[0]) I'm not sure we'd be in much of a different position if we had.
We haven't seen particularly rapidly growing demand as energy efficiency improvements and the closure of heavy industry has offset the general increase in energy intensity which happens over time as economies grow.
It's also not like there is no locational signal in the current system - the costs which large generators and large consumers pay to use the transmission network do depend in part on where they are connected and how much of the peak network capacity need they are responsible for (so called "triad charges").
There are also significant revenue incentives for building embedded (ie distribution-connected) generation.
Ultimately it's hard to avoid the fact that we closed down old reliable coal and gas generation without having the right replacements in place. Governments of all political stripes didn't want to take decisions (eg on new nuclear especially but also things like pumped storage hydro) because it was easier to pretend these changes were cost free.
> the national wholesale price of power in the UK is based on the price of the most expensive thing in the market at any point
How much of the electricity demand goes through a bilateral agreement (or one where generation and retail are the same organisation, like EDF)? Also I seem to recall that the "pay the highest accepted bidder model" used to be argued as lowering the bids, resulting in a lower cost to the consumer!
omnibrain 1 days ago [-]
It's exactly the same in Germany. In addition the state government of Bavaria in the south east does everything to keep wind power from being built in their state and worked against high voltage power lines to bring cheap and abundant energy from the north to his state.
LosEstupidos 16 hours ago [-]
[flagged]
fakedang 24 hours ago [-]
To be honest, Bavaria isn't the ideal place for wind power imo, WHEN THERE ARE ALTERNATIVES.
Braindead Germany just woke up and decided that they want to do away with nuclear and suck the icy cold teats of Mother Russia.
Wind isn't suited for inland Germany, especially in a place like Bavaria, which has the frickking Black Forest ecosystem and a mountainous terrain. Not to mention the winds are much slower there than in North Germany. For the cost calculus that wind energy provides, it's best suited for underutilized offshore areas or desert climates.
Germany forcing wind power is basically a sorry excuse they have to compensate for their energy shortfall - wind and solar can be deployed relatively faster, but of course solar doesn't make sense in Germany, hence the government is trying to shove down wind.
moooo99 21 hours ago [-]
Your comment really is a prime example of what is wrong with this discourse.
> which has the frickking Black Forest ecosystem
Bavaria has forests, but not the Black Forest. The Black Forest is in Baden Württemberg.
> and a mountainous terrain
Bavaria is more mountainous than northern Germany for sure, but not all of Bavaria is the alps.
> Not to mention the winds are much slower there than in North Germany. For the cost calculus that wind energy provides, it's best suited for underutilized offshore areas or desert climates.
I often see this argued, often with people citing ground wins speeds to support their statement. However, at 100m public records to show sufficient wind speeds to justify the investment in many cases. Of course offshore wind is always going to have a lower LCoE than onshore wind, but in southern states like Bavaria transmission bottlenecks and redispatch are also a concern (by the way, both of witch are exasperated by the lack of investment in transmission networks).
> but of course solar doesn't make sense in Germany,
This is just a factually wrong statement. Solar does make sense ans the business case is just getting stronger with the falling panel and storage costs. I have a residential installation (the least cost and energy effective solution) and I cover most of my electricity needs from my roof in 10 out of 12 months. People love to reference the two months to demonstrate that it is useless, but that’s a bit like saying your house is useless because you’re not at home for 10 hours a day.
laurencerowe 7 hours ago [-]
> Of course offshore wind is always going to have a lower LCoE than onshore wind
This is a weird angle I’ve seen appear in the past few days as I’ve re-engaged with online discourse.
Why the heck are people arguing about energy markets in the EU?
And that too, specifically, Germany ?
Is it targeting green energy? Is it targeting Germany ? What, why ?
moooo99 4 hours ago [-]
Honestly speaking, I don't know for sure but I also spend time thinking about it and figured it mostly comes down to the politics of the issue. Although I can only comment on the German part of the issue, the overall discourse is likely rather similar.
> And that too, specifically, Germany ?
The discourse around the energy market in Germany is mostly centered around the inequality of the German energy market. Germany is a single price zone. However, this price is only the bidding price on the electricity market. In addition to the energy price, there are taxes and network transfer fees (Netzentgelte) that make up the final electricity price that is paid by the consumer. In the northern states the network fees are pretty high because of the high amount of wind turbines being connected to the grid, so the consumers in the northern states pay comparatively expensive prices, especially considering the vast amount of cheap wind energy that is in available in their network regions [0].
In southern states like Bavaria the network fees are less of an issue, resulting in lower energy prices overall (which sometimes makes sense because Bavaria has a lot of solar power installed). The north (eastern) states are also economically relatively weak, so the impression is that these regions essentially subsidize the "cheap" electricity for the economically well off states in southern Germany, hindering the development of new industries in those states.
Beyond those issues there is also the ever increasing cost for redispatch which is placing an increasing burden on electricity consumers [1]
> Is it targeting green energy
In Germany it is certainly targeting the green energy by proxy and the green party in particular. German politics has been a pretty shitshow ever since I turned old enough the care, but the last 3 years were super bad.
> Is it targeting Germany ?
I think Germany in particular is targeted largely because of the decision to phase out nuclear power. This is a decision that is for some reason widely unpopular nowadays, even with people who celebrated the decision 10 years ago. The stuttering transformation in Germany probably also has some side effects in countries that we're (re-) importing from, namely raising the prices due to higher demand.
With the power of hindsight you can argue that exiting coal before nuclear would have been a smarter play, but here we are.
TL;DR: Energy grid transformation is a bit of a (political) shitshow
I saw this on a Reddit discussion on American healthcare. One of the responses about American politics, brought up German decision making, and their denuclearization. Which was new, I’ve seen all sorts of misinfo, talking points, traps etc. etc.
But German energy policy?????
Thanks for the info.
fakedang 4 hours ago [-]
> Bavaria has forests, but not the Black Forest. The Black Forest is in Baden Württemberg.
Brain fart moment, I guess you're right. But Bavaria still has plentiful forests for the argument to be valid.
> This is just a factually wrong statement. Solar does make sense ans the business case is just getting stronger with the falling panel and storage costs.
The business case is getting stronger because of a self-inflicted wound. You guys have ballooning energy costs in Germany by sole virtue of your own policies, even though you had the panacea to those issues earlier. It's like handling a toothache with clove oil and herbs when you should be getting a root canal, even though you're rich enough to afford that.
I for one would love to see German heavy industry run on solar power. Even the cost justification won't make sense and you know that.
Propelloni 23 hours ago [-]
You are free to believe what you want, but the Black Forest is not in Bavaria. Some other observations are not wrong per se, but heavily spin-doctored. For example, the average wind speed in Bavaria is 6.9 m/s, which is about 2m/s slower than average wind speed in Schleswig-Holstein but very much in the economical range of wind energy facilities of 3 to 12 m/s, or gas imports from Russia to Europe have fallen by ~70% from end of 2021 to end of 2023 which is still too much, but not exactly sucking a teat, and so on.
pfdietz 20 hours ago [-]
When I go to https://model.energy/ and run the optimization algorithm on Bayern using 2030 cost assumptions, it finds that using solar/wind/batteries/hydrogen to produce steady power output costs 77.8 euro/MWh. This is probably cheaper than new construction nuclear would be there.
Europe in general is one of the worst parts of the world for renewable energy, but this just means that in a post-fossil fuel, renewable powered world, Europe will be at a competitive disadvantage in energy intensive industries, and nuclear will not save them vs. industries in sunnier places.
tim333 8 hours ago [-]
It seems to me quite a lot of it is down to having a net co2 zero goal but not anything like market tax for co2 so if reducing emissions by 100kg can be done by spending £100 on insulation or £1000 on domestic solar then solar it is because it sounds sexier to politicians.
We had similar problems with the Nixon/Ford/Carter price and allocation controls on gasoline. There were shortages and long lines in some states and gluts in others. Carter was baffled about what to do.
Reagan ended it on day one with an Executive Order to repeal the controls. The lines disappeared overnight and never returned.
WarOnPrivacy 2 hours ago [-]
> Nixon/Ford/Carter price and allocation controls on gasoline...long lines in some states and gluts in others.
> Reagan ended it on day one with an Executive Order to repeal the controls. The lines disappeared overnight and never returned.
We had lines in 73 following OPEC's response to western involvement in Yom Kippur war. We had lines again in 79 when Iran's oil dropped out of the market. I can't recall gas lines (or reports thereof) during the intervening time. Searching didn't turn anything up.
(Anecdotally, I hung out with the Jan-Feb 1979 tractorcade. They came in from all over. Fuel prices were a concern but not availability.)
The latter spurred conservation. 1979's sharp oil price increases peaked in July 1980. Oil prices then began a long and steady fall, until the precipitous fall in Dec 1985.
Gas prices increase sharply in 1979, again in 1980 and again in 1981. In 1982 they drop to the highs that were set in 1980 and stay there, untethered to continually dropping oil prices. Until 1986, anyway.
WalterBright 1 minutes ago [-]
I remember 1979 well. Lines every time I needed gas.
The day after Reagan signed the EO, the lines disappeared. I have never seen them since. I pull right up to the pump every time. That's with the prices going up and down pretty much daily.
gehsty 23 hours ago [-]
No expert but there is segmentation in terms of network costs to generators (tnuos), which come out of the CFD generators are awarded, so while bill payers have a single cost the utilities that generate their power do feel the effect of where they build their plant.
ilaksh 20 hours ago [-]
I just assume the real reason is that it's an island and there is relatively little competition. The government and power companies can work together to take whatever they want from you and you can't stop them.
mrbadguy 11 hours ago [-]
How’s that not true for just about any country?
graemep 1 days ago [-]
> Even Scotland which either exports or curtails dirt cheap wind power most of the time gets to pay expensive gas rates for their power
1. window power is not "dirt cheap" because of the rates the wind farms get paid. As you said they get paid the wholesale rate, and IIRC it is the greater of the wholesale rate and a minimum rate they are guaranteed by the government.
2. the reason curtailment happens UK's is because there is a lack of grid capacity to take it where it is needed. Most of the wind generating capacity is in Scotland, which has about 10% of the UK's population. This part of the problem would be helped by cheaper rates when there is excess energy, but increasing the use of wind power would mean higher bills because of 1.
The cost of fixing this will mean building grid capacity, so it means higher electricity bills.
The TL;DR version is we built wind power when it was expensive, subsidised it at those prices, and now are stuck with paying for it at those prices.
24 hours ago [-]
ggrothendieck 20 hours ago [-]
Gas production from the North Sea is low because they imposed onerous windfall surtaxes on it so now it is unattractive to produce.
FL33TW00D 2 hours ago [-]
So many uninformed people in the comments here.
"The Carbon Price Support (CPS), introduced by the UK Government in April 2013, has led to a substantial reduction in electricity generated from coal, which fell by 93% from a monthly average of 13.1 TWh in 2013 to only 0.97 TWh in 2019 (Ofgem, 2019a)."
They actually correctly priced the externalities and managed to decimate coal usage in the UK in a single decade. This increased prices accordingly.
This should be applauded, they correctly designed a scheme so that the economics aligned and coal was quickly removed. We can now focus on increasing energy production from other means and decreasing prices.
> The UK has achieved the fastest rate of grid decarbonisation among advanced economies. A lot of this progress occurred when renewables were still expensive, so we are stuck with a cost hangover. Luckily, renewables are getting much cheaper, so the tradeoffs in future policy are very different.
A silver lining at least. I’m old, so won’t see the benefits of this I’m sure, but it’s still nice to know we’ve made some tangible progress toward a cleaner future
Maken 1 days ago [-]
I would like to know what "fastest rate of grid decarbonisation" even means, because the UK is definitely not the nation with the largest share of renewable electricity production. I guess it measures how much energy production has transitioned from non-renewable to renewable sources in recent years.
From that data, for the same reason as China: overdependence on coal.
weebull 22 hours ago [-]
I don't think it's a particularly cryptic measure.
The UKs peak carbon per kWh was at some point. Since then it's dropped at a percentage rate higher than anywhere else.
The biggest thing has been the elimination of coal even if it's with natural gas as it's a much cleaner fuel. It's still a fossil fuel, but burns with much less pollution.
chippiewill 22 hours ago [-]
It's the percentage cut in emissions relative to the 1990 bench line.
monsecchris 1 days ago [-]
It’s so insignificant that at best we might delay the climate catastrophe by a few seconds
Xelbair 1 days ago [-]
People might not like this, but that's true.
as long as non-western countries keep polluting - even if we achieve net-zero nothing will change other than us feeling better and patting ourselves in the back.
threeseed 1 days ago [-]
This is a very misguided view of the situation.
a) The transition to clean energy, transportation etc by Western countries funds the development and investment in new technologies. These then filter down to developing countries when the economies of scale kick in e.g. solar panels, electric cars.
b) There are also other benefits to cleaner solutions than just trying to achieve net-zero. Reductions in pollution reduce morbidity, improve productivity, improve happiness, secure food supply etc.
graemep 1 days ago [-]
I think you overestimate the importance of what the West does. The West no longer dominates the world economically. Things no longer filter down the rest of the world as simply as you think. China is a bigger economy than any Western economy than the US, and is growing. India is about as big as any European economy. Both, and many other countries are doing more and more of their own R & D and have their own agendas.
flir 21 hours ago [-]
It's not about the west (or anyone in particular) doing the R&D, it's about the west providing a market for that R&D.
The West still leads in overall R&D. Even TSMC advanced nodes ultimately rely on western equipment and technology. New advancements in AI and vaccines were western as well.
China has made impressive bounds in R&D but still lags in many fields of scientific research. Much of their research output is derivative in my experience of reading a fair bit of research articles in several fields.
However China does lead in many fields of manufacturing. The western countries are far behind in there. That is important in terms of global leadership in renewable energy.
graemep 8 hours ago [-]
There is a big difference between "leads" and "dominates".
threeseed 22 hours ago [-]
a) China is third to US and EU in terms of GDP. And their economy is on a downwards trajectory.
b) Majority of the early R&D in solar, EVs etc came from the US. China has been vital in driving unit economics.
Xelbair 21 hours ago [-]
a) China is third to US and EU in terms of GDP. And their economy is on a downwards trajectory.
what about population? as that's the main driving factor for pollution - especially if you couple that with energy needs.
graemep 8 hours ago [-]
So you have to count the EU as a single country to push China into third place. This is something people argue about. During Brexit I many people assured me the EU was not a country.
If you use PPP rather than nominal GDP China is actually the biggest and the EU the third biggest.
Also worth noting that, despite expansion, the EU was a smaller proportion of the worth economy before the UK left, than the EEC was after Britain joined. The trend is very much away from the West.
realusername 19 hours ago [-]
Their population is stagnating and there's some good signs that the numbers they gave were not accurate in the first place, China's real population is likely lower than India.
pfdietz 20 hours ago [-]
Chinese population is falling now, I believe. There's some talk the ~1.4 B official figure is seriously overstated as well.
greenavocado 1 days ago [-]
Drinking game. Drop Google Street View anywhere on the territory of India. If there is a trash pile visible, take a shot.
fulafel 14 hours ago [-]
And as long as oil producing countries (hello uk/us) keep pumping it out. We need intl agreements to ramp this down fast.
fragmede 1 days ago [-]
Knocking the western 30% of pollution down to zero is still meaningful, even if the remaining 70% isn't affected (which it will be). China, one is the most polluting non-western countries, is going to renewables and electric vehicles at a faster rate than some of the western countries.
weebull 22 hours ago [-]
> China, one is the most polluting non-western countries, is going to renewables and electric vehicles at a faster rate than some of the western countries.
Its not "going to renewables". It's building the fastest amount of renewable generation, but that's new capacity, not replacement. It's also building the most coal plants and nuclear plants and anything else. It's all new capacity.
Same with cars. Most EVs and most ICes.
China is growing, and is doing so in all directions.
alecco 24 hours ago [-]
* acording to CCP's reported numbers
XorNot 23 hours ago [-]
The CCP is at least heavily motivated to get rid of coal because the wealthy and leadership can't buy their way out of Shanghai's smog problem.
akira2501 22 hours ago [-]
They're on track to build 12 _new_ coal plants this year.
Why do people believe they're operating in good faith?
beo35 8 hours ago [-]
Per capita EU is a far bigger polluter than non developed countries.
exe34 1 days ago [-]
[flagged]
threeseed 1 days ago [-]
Mainly because it's asinine to think that the entire green economy only exists for virtue signalling and not because there are significant amounts of money to be made.
1 days ago [-]
krona 23 hours ago [-]
> the benefits
The UK has 30GW of wind capacity. Two weeks ago wind was generating 1.8GW (5% of demand at the time). The benefits of a power source are only somewhat theoretical when you can't rely on it being there when you need it.
graybeardhacker 1 days ago [-]
The graph shows the price for 3100 kWh. I'm not sure if that is a very low annual amount or a very very high monthly amount.
The average US household uses 10,000 kWh annually ~833 kWh per month. So I'm guessing most Americans reading the article and looking at the interactive graph are thinking either: this is very cheap or very expensive, depending on whether they are assuming it's monthly or annual.
In the US the average price for 3100 kWh in California would be $1062 which is among the highest in the continental US. So right in line with GB.
In New York it would be $710. Florida it would be $454.
So it's high, but not as eye-watering as it seemed to me initially.
switch007 1 days ago [-]
We mostly don't have AC, we have tiny houses, our heating is gas powered. Lots of showers aren't electric either. We don't use huge amounts compared to the US
nine_k 22 hours ago [-]
Gladly would, but few can afford :-/
pfdietz 20 hours ago [-]
When you switch to heat pumps you'll get AC for no extra capital cost.
lowsong 14 hours ago [-]
Unfortunately not. Most houses in the UK are heated using a 'central heating' loop. A closed loop of water that circulated through pipes run through the house and through large radiators in each room. A central boiler, usually a gas boiler, burns gas to heat and circulate this loop to provide whole-house heating, while also typically using a heat exchanger to heat the intake cold drinking water supply into a whole house hot drinking water. (Thus, most houses have cold, hot, and central heating piping).
If you switch out the gas boiler for a heat pump, it can still heat the hot water and heat the central heating loop. But it can't provide cooling that way. There is no infrastructure in most houses to run AC ducting or refrigerant pipes.
You might think that you could simply cool the water in the central heating loop, and therefore make all of the radiators very cold, and use that to move heat out of rooms. In theory that might work, but in most houses these central heating pipes are not insulated and run under floorboards. If you make them cold then they'll cause condensation, leading to water in all kinds of small spaces, and likely leading to warping, damage, or mould.
In the UK, retrofitting AC into an existing house is a huge undertaking in most cases.
KolenCh 9 hours ago [-]
Good point. Not to mention the circulation will be all wrong had the radiator been cool instead of warm. (The primary means of heating by radiator actually comes from convection rather than radiation.)
pfdietz 7 hours ago [-]
Good point, my mistake.
bfmalky 1 days ago [-]
That's the annual figure. But just for electricity. Most UK homes are heated with gas, and many have gas stoves, so the average kWh annual gas figure is much higher (~12,000kWh).
J_McQuade 1 days ago [-]
3100 kWh is the figure set by the regulator as the representative annual usage used to calculate prices for e.g. tariff comparison between suppliers. It makes sense to use it here.
Hilift 22 hours ago [-]
There is clearly a difference between states that invested in projects that went over budget. Power generation is cheaper in a lot of states due to the price of natural gas is dramatically lower than it was 20 years ago. Florida uses gas for 75% of electricity.
Aachen 1 days ago [-]
We're at ~3.6 MWh in a ground floor apartment with 2 adults, with water heating (e.g. showering) electric but building heating on gas (though we use a space heater a lot as well, probably to the tune of 0.2 MWh/year)
Hamuko 1 days ago [-]
I wonder if I should feel bad since I'm currently at 2830 kWh in 2024 for a single household with all heating costs not coming out of my electric bill.
klasma 24 hours ago [-]
I‘m at ~1200 kWh for what sounds like the same.
piva00 1 days ago [-]
Median income and take home pay should be brought into account though. California has one of the highest even by US standards so a $1000 bill for the median Californian family feels much less expensive than for the median Manchester family.
akira2501 22 hours ago [-]
There are no median families. There are a lot of very high wage earners in CA.
You should really be looking for the mode here.
matthewmorgan 1 days ago [-]
Californian pricing would be okay if we had Californian living standards.
nickdothutton 5 hours ago [-]
Im old enough to remember when Prof. Ian Fells [1] discussed most of these problems in the early 1980s in the UK. Our “time from problem identification to solution deployed” is absolutely abysmal in the UK.
He characterises the energy market as a scam. I tend to agree.
yumraj 23 hours ago [-]
The rate shown is 29p which comes to 36 cents.
It is substantially less than PG&E California prices, which average around 50-55 cents.
philjohn 23 hours ago [-]
I'm in the UK and with solar and battery, and having an EV there are tariffs out there where the levellised cost you'll pay is approaching 7p per kWh.
Intelligent Octopus Go is one example - between 23:30 and 05:30 all of your electricity usage is 7p per kWh, for the entire house. For this, you give up controlling when your EV is charged as Octopus either control it through the car, or through a compatible charger. When your car is plugged in, they build a charging schedule when the grid is cheapest and greenest. You give them an "I need to add this % of charge and it to be done by this time tomorrow morning" and it just works it out. On days with a glut of renewable generation (i.e., it's very windy, or very sunny) you will get half hour slots at 7p during the day as well.
Now comes the solar and PV element - their "outgoing octopus" export scheme pays 15p per kWh, so in the summer you can build a nice credit buffer from exported excess energy, and then in the winter, charge the battery whenever the cheap rate is active and given a big "enough" battery, most of your usage will cost you 7p + 5-10% (efficiency losses from AC/DC/AC conversion).
The payback period for Solar + Battery, especially in the UK where we aren't saddled with high tariffs for panels, is coming down markedly. It used to be well in excess of a decade, but is between 5-10 years now.
lostlogin 17 hours ago [-]
Is that payback time with a battery?
It’s about 7 years without and 10-12 with here in New Zealand.
I get some installed next month.
fy20 15 hours ago [-]
I'm in Northern Europe (54N) and when I had solar installed 3 years ago I calculated it would be around 7 years, without incentives and without a battery. The price has dropped a lot since then, so it would be under 5 years now.
Havoc 23 hours ago [-]
Nobody is getting california salaries in rural UK though...
dmwilcox 10 hours ago [-]
California is not the Bay Area and LA metro. There are lots of places in California you won't get "California salaries" either.
Having grown up in rural California I have will return the favor I get for confusing the UK with London ;)
yumraj 23 hours ago [-]
Fair point - I did not consider purchasing price parity.
hansvm 19 hours ago [-]
I've had cheaper, more reliable, higher quality power every place I've lived with a population over a few dozen people. Why is PG&E like this?
inferiorhuman 19 hours ago [-]
Regulatory capture.
jeffbee 23 hours ago [-]
According to the EIA Monthly, average California residential prices were 30¢ in October. Your statement is closer to being correct if you say "PG&E prices" instead of "California prices". PG&E has ~6 million accounts in a state of 40 million people.
inferiorhuman 19 hours ago [-]
PG&E has ~6 million accounts in a state of 40 million people.
Apples to oranges. 6 million accounts works out to roughly 16 million people according to their site. That works out to a bit over 40% of the 39 million (38,965,193 says Wiki) people out here.
yumraj 23 hours ago [-]
Updated..
refurb 18 hours ago [-]
PG&E is a terrible example since the rates are so high.
huntergackley 23 hours ago [-]
[dead]
dzonga 11 hours ago [-]
what's not mentioned is the consequence of having expensive power.
the average UK consumer consumes 1/3 of the power consumed by a US consumer.
which makes the average UK energy consumption is equivalent to one of a low-middle income country.
energy consumption is heavily tied to prosperity.
archsurface 19 hours ago [-]
A couple of years ago I found Assassin's Creed 2 for £2.50 - bargain! I'd never played it. At the end of the quarter my electricity bill was £600 higher than usual. Not a bargain!
nahnotreal4 8 hours ago [-]
It seems exaggerated for comedic effect, but it is technically possible under certain extreme conditions. For a £600 increase in an electricity bill, the player would have to use a device with high power consumption for an extended period. Here's a breakdown:
Gaming PC Power Consumption: High-end gaming PCs can consume around 300–600 watts while gaming. Let's assume a power usage of 500 watts for simplicity.
Usage Time: Playing continuously for long hours over a quarter (about 90 days) could significantly increase electricity consumption.
500 watts = 0.5 kilowatts
Playing 8 hours daily for 90 days = 720 hours
0.5 kW × 720 hours = 360 kWh
Electricity Costs: Assuming a cost of £0.30 per kWh:
360 kWh × £0.30 = £108 additional cost.
For a £600 increase, you'd need much higher power usage (e.g., using multiple devices like a high-end PC, large TV, and cooling systems) or running the game nearly 24/7. It’s unlikely but feasible if they had an exceptionally inefficient setup or other contributing factors.
stonesthrowaway 4 hours ago [-]
The answer is because the UK moved away from their most abundant and cheapest energy source. It's not rocket science.
blindriver 22 hours ago [-]
California regulators just approved its 6th rate hike of 2024.
Is 906 GBP (~1100 USD) typical for a household? That seems outrageously high.
dukeyukey 1 days ago [-]
Annually, that sounds about right.
hughes 1 days ago [-]
Oh, I thought this was monthly. The article doesn't specify, and all other bills I've seen are monthly. Do Brits pay annually?
wiether 1 days ago [-]
Electricity consumption will vary during the year so it seems fair to give the yearly total to have the actual cost; and you can divide by twelve if your prefer a monthly average.
Meanwhile, if they only gave a monthly figure, one could wonder if it's an average or if it's taken in January or July.
fy20 15 hours ago [-]
Many UK homes have electric heating or use supplemental electric heaters during winter, so the consumption of summer vs winter changes a lot.
This is why there has been a big push for offshore wind in the UK, it's an island that has strong winds during winter.
lostlogin 17 hours ago [-]
> Electricity consumption will vary during the year
We heat with a wood burner and so have very flat usage over a year. Heating requirements are lower here in Auckland, New Zealand.
wiether 12 hours ago [-]
During winter the days are shorter so the lights are on more often.
People tend to eat/drink more heated things than during summer (think coffee maker and microwave ovens).
They also tend to spend more time inside due to the weather so they use things needing electricity (TV, computer, radio...).
rcxdude 1 days ago [-]
You don't pay annually, but because of the substantial variation in energy usage throughout the year, you'll generally price-compare on an annual basis, and usually the monthly payment is a kind of pro-rata value where you over-pay in summer and under-pay in winter.
porker 1 days ago [-]
Normally pay monthly by Direct Debit, but because usage varies so much between summer and winter we assess and estimate usage annually.
usr1106 23 hours ago [-]
This is how it used to be in Finland, too. More houses than in many other countries are heated electrically. With the cold winters here the variation is extra big.
Still since a couple of years ago bills have to be paid according to monthly (sometimes bimonthly) real consumption. I had the feeling this was even a regulatory requirement to make people aware of the real costs and encourage saving. Cannot find a reference to that now. Either I remember it wrong or the search results are just too polluted by marketing pages.
All meters are read remotely with hourly precision. An increasing share of households has spot price contracts. So the price changes every hour. Sometimes negative, sometimes 60 cents/kWh or more to mention the extremes. Switching to 15 minute pricing is on the way already
dukeyukey 21 hours ago [-]
No, we pay monthly, but because we're a cold country that doesn't have widespread domestic air con, energy usage is _way_ higher in winter, so talking about monthly averages doesn't make much sense.
dfawcus 23 hours ago [-]
Historically quarterly. Some of us still do pay on that schedule.
switch007 1 days ago [-]
£900/mo would bankrupt most of the country lol
Havoc 23 hours ago [-]
Monthly as others have said.
900 is a small household with limited heating, more like a condo than house.
a2tech 1 days ago [-]
In a historic home in the Midwest a single month in the depths of of the winter could easily be 700-800 usd.
Spooky23 1 days ago [-]
That’s crazy. I live in New York in an old drafty house. My highest bill is about $400-450 and it’s much colder here. Those rates are brutal.
a2tech 20 hours ago [-]
2400 sq feet, brick, limited/no insulation, original wood windows. I wouldn't trade it for the world though, even if its crazy to heat/cool.
bpodgursky 1 days ago [-]
This is an extreme outlier. I have a 4,700 square foot home in the Midwest, electric heating (heat pump + backup direct heat) and only occasionally hit $300/mo in a cold spell.
gsk22 1 days ago [-]
Heat pumps are something like 5-6x as efficient as resistive electric heaters. So no surprise that your bill would be lower.
Of course, heating an entire house with (non-heat-pump) electric heat in a cold climate is kind of crazy. Natural gas is way way cheaper. But I've seen it in old houses here in the Upper Midwest, so it's not _too_ out of the ordinary.
grapesodaaaaa 24 hours ago [-]
I was also going to point that out. Resistive electric heating costs could easily reach that much, but it’s a horribly inefficient way to heat your house.
bpodgursky 1 days ago [-]
Heat pumps are so affordable now, that just feels like a poor decision-making rather than an economic hardship. You could finance a heat pump and the savings would pay itself off in a year.
dns_snek 4 hours ago [-]
That completely depends on local electricity costs and climate. We get about 4 months of freezing temperatures and when I did some back of the napkin math, a heat pump installation would be cheaper than gas over its lifetime, but it was only by about 10-20%, at a much higher upfront cost.
I'm not an expert so I could've made a mistake somewhere, but my calculations said that the system would have to survive for 10-15 years before it would pull ahead of a new gas boiler.
inferiorhuman 19 hours ago [-]
Yeah it's called apartment living. I hit nearly $350 in Oakland a couple years (and many PG&E rate hikes) ago in a 600 sq ft apartment. Even if I wanted to pay for a heat pump installation it's doubtful the landlord would've been on board.
Last time I did the math, even with a 60% efficient furnace natural gas was cheaper than an electric heat pump. PG&E's electric rates are simply that much more expensive than their natural gas rates. Currently that's up to $0.49/kWh on the most popular rate plan vs $2.49/therm. Keep in mind that the fifth and sixth electric rate hikes of 2024 were just approved today by Newsom's regulatory body and don't factor into the price I quoted.
Symbiote 10 hours ago [-]
I pay about $60 a month to heat a well-insulated apartment in Copenhagen, similar size.
The average for an 80m² apartment is $1100/year.
After the 1970s fuel crises, Denmark invested in district heating and that seems to have paid off.
My first house was in the midwest, built around 1920, and had plaster walls with no insulation. It was only around 1400 sqft, but we did have (natgas) heating bills in that range ($600-$700/mo December through February).
bowsamic 1 days ago [-]
Yes
Type | yearly usage | average annual cost
Low (flat or 1-bedroom house / 1-2 people) | 1,800 kWh | £669.95
Medium (3-bedroom house / 2-3 people) | 2,900 kWh | £943.36
High (5-bedroom house / 4-5 people) | 4,300 kWh |
£1,291.34
I was surprised to see how low electricity usage is.
The fairer measurement is probably gas and electric, and your source says ‘ According to Ofgem, the average British household has 2.4 people living in it and uses 2,700 kWh of electricity and 11,500 kWh of gas. This works out at 242 kWh of electricity and 1,000 kWh of gas per month.’
We don’t have gas at home and use about 10,000kW/h here in New Zealand.
bowsamic 12 hours ago [-]
Yeah that's what's wild about it. Those prices are so high despite the fact that Brits use so much gas
"Supplier costs and margins" probably should take a fair bit of the blame too.
When Thatcher privatised the UK energy industry to make it "competitive", they basically created an entire complex web of middlemen. The systems they use to communicate is enormously complicated, still kind of stuck in the 90s (think CSV over FTP), and would be basically unnecessary if it were just one company.
Ok in fairness electricity makes more sense to privatise than water or railways - at least you can choose where to buy your electricity from, within reason.
HPsquared 1 days ago [-]
It does kind of make sense to have a market for the "generation" side with all the different types of power source that exist now. But the infrastructure is privately owned? That's crazy. Like privatising the motorway network!
They did try with the railway network (Railtrack) which was subsequently renationalised and only the train operating companies being private (and even they, like electricity generating companies, are often state-owned by other countries...).
Handing an entire national network monopoly to a single company is foolish.
euroderf 1 days ago [-]
I remember reading in the UK papers about one of the first water companies to privatize. The very first act of the board was to vote themselves a BIG pay raise.
Symbiote 1 days ago [-]
It's only relatively recently that this is being dealt with:
Out of the £1700 average annual bill, supplier profits are £43...this is significantly higher than has been the case normally because of the volatility in energy prices. This return is also controlled by the regulator.
For scale, the cost of government subsidies is £183.
Predictably the first thing the incoming government did was: announce massive new subsidies, and create a state-owned energy company.
Network costs have also gone up because of the well-known problems with performing work on any kind of infrastructure in the UK.
The politics are part of the reason why costs are so high. We constantly rotate through insane policies that relate to the fever dreams of a lawyer. The reason why prices are high is because we have policies in place to increase prices. Companies are not making big profits (again, their returns are controlled by the regulators). Look at share prices, collapsing in the sector (unless they are getting government money).
IshKebab 24 hours ago [-]
You're mixing up two things. Suppliers (middlemen) aren't making any profit because the government has capped prices. They literally can't. But even when they could they didn't make that much profit because there's pretty good competition between them because consumers can choose.
The issue with suppliers is they are spending a ton of money dealing with complexity that shouldn't exist, so even though they aren't making a profit they're costing you unnecessarily.
The people who are making a profit are DNOs. Totally different thing.
amiga386 1 days ago [-]
It's an interesting rathole to go down. On the one hand, there are private equity firms buying power stations and deliberately turning them off to reduce supply, knowing that National Grid will call them in a few hours paying them an even higher rate to turn them back on... but also those operators get detected and, months later, fined out the wazoo by the regulator for pulling a stunt like that.
Also, electricity isn't any less of a monopoly. You can choose your supplier, but they do no more than administer your metering and billing (including the government insisting they install smart meters). Your house is still connected to the same domestic grid as everybody else, and it's National Grid plc that is selecting who's generating and when, and getting paid for it.
RobotToaster 1 days ago [-]
> but also those operators get detected and, months later, fined out the wazoo by the regulator for pulling a stunt like that.
The ones that were detected were fined, we don't know how much of that goes on but more subtly.
amiga386 1 days ago [-]
How does one subtly turn off a power station?
National Grid plc has minute-by-minute graphs. It can see you taking the piss, and its friends in Ofgem are on speed-dial.
They aren't deliberately turning power stations off. We have a renewable system so when those sources aren't generating then we need gas.
All the BBG article proved is the inherent problems with the system that we have. Rather than anyone being blamed for creating that system, rather than anyone being blamed for regulating that system, we get the same politically-motivated nonsense about "evil companies"...this is why we have high electricity costs. There is literally zero political incentive to lower them and, as we have seen, very high political gains from proposing fictional solutions. Guess what? We are still going to be in the exact same place in a few years because we haven't changed the thing causing this (over-reliance on renewables).
ZeroGravitas 1 days ago [-]
Some of these are "costs" which reduce costs elsewhere.
Smart meters for example, though rollout has hit snags and they've become targets for weird conspiracy theories, they are basically designed to give better real time info on electricity demand which helps with managing the grid.
This in theory should save money elsewhere.
Similarly for CfD. Yes the government may on net be paying a subsidy to get wind power built but what was the next best option? If that costs more than the CfD then that's a win.
jstanley 1 days ago [-]
But why do you need smart meters at the level of individual houses? Wouldn't putting them on substations get the same benefit with much less cost?
Nextgrid 1 days ago [-]
In a competent implementation, real-time metering can enable near-real-time pricing where consumers are incentivized to vary their consumption to help grid stability.
Your EV can modulate its charging very quickly, and "background" loads like electric heating, water heater or even A/C can also be modulated somewhat quickly (though not as quick as an EV's inverter).
The meter needs however to make sure you indeed complied with the demand in order to pay you fairly (otherwise if people can defect on their obligation and still get paid, it defeats the purpose of the scheme of ensuring grid stability).
Doing this at the substation is not granular enough because then you can no longer determine who contributed what and whom to pay, which then removes any incentive for people actually participate.
In theory, this should lead to significant savings and efficiency benefits, as everyone opted into the scheme can now be used as an on-demand load to dump excess power (during which power is not only free, but the consumer may even be paid to consume that power) to smooth out supply/demand fluctuations.
Of course, the UK's smart meter scheme is administered by Capita, so don't expect any of this to actually happen, work reliably or actually lead to any kind of significant benefits, but in theory, it would be a great thing as long as it's done by competent people without corruption/mismatched incentives.
desas 23 hours ago [-]
Octopus are already doing this in the UK,so it does actually happen.
Nextgrid 19 hours ago [-]
Octopus is doing hourly blocks, and is limited to a single provider. It's an interesting idea and broadly heads in the right direction, but is far away from what I'm describing.
What I describe would be real-time with seconds-level granularity and operated by the grid operator as part of the distribution network and thus provider-agnostic. The idea is to (financially) incentivize people to shift their demand and production around grid fluctuations in real-time - this should allow everyone to get "more" out of the grid by better coordinating supply and production and respond to unexpected events.
akira2501 21 hours ago [-]
> where consumers are incentivized to vary their consumption to help grid stability.
If the grid is not stable then it needs upgrades. Automated austerity to cover a backlog of undone work is madness.
conradludgate 1 days ago [-]
My energy supplier (Octopus) gives me a tarrif with half-hourly pricing (smart meters in the UK only report with 30 minutes resolution).
This let's me know when electricity is in less demand or high supply and schedule my day around it. Making my electricity bill cheaper and likewise putting less strain on the supplier which reduces their costs too
conradludgate 1 days ago [-]
The other week, it was not very windy but it was cold, so the energy price spiked pretty high (£1/kwh). Other times the energy price falls pretty low, and I regularly see it be negative for some hours of the night or rarely up until the afternoon.
Paired with a home battery it can be pretty effective, but I don't have one and instead I just work around it and use my electrical heating more when it's cheaper and rely on my insulation to last throughout when it gets more expensive during the day. I've also started cooking dinner later to get past the evening hump.
conradludgate 1 days ago [-]
Here's my prices for tomorrow for those who are interested. They publish an API for this too which I have loaded into a spreadsheet for my own entertainment
Just shifting some electricity usage around is a pretty solid tactic with dynamic pricing.
I'm currently paying wholesale + 0.49 c/kWh margin for my electricity and I'm averaging out to 6.67 c/kWh (incl. margin) in December. Wholesale average has been about 6.61 c/kWh. Add transfer and tax on top of that and it's around 0.13 €/kWh total.
I live in an apartment so the two big electricity-wasters are the dishwasher and the washing machine. Delaying doing the laundry by a couple of days or running the dishwasher half a day later keeps the average much lower. And if you have an EV, just charge it during the night when wholesale prices get closer to 0€.
Spooky23 1 days ago [-]
They also identify outages and let you do automatic efficiency stuff — you can enroll in a plan where your car charges during off-peak periods, for example.
kevin_thibedeau 1 days ago [-]
It eliminates the need for staff to manually read them and guarantees they are read correctly every month.
philjohn 23 hours ago [-]
It also opens up more granular time-of-use tariffs than Economy 7.
Intelligent Octopus Go being one example.
6510 1 days ago [-]
That is the sales pitch, the error rate on the overcharging side is infinitely larger than that of mechanical meters. Not a fun lottery to win.
Symbiote 1 days ago [-]
The alternative isn't a mechanical meter anyway. It's an electronic meter that must be read manually.
sgerenser 23 hours ago [-]
What makes smart meters more likely to read high?
toast0 22 hours ago [-]
20-30 year old mechanical meters tend to be pretty accurate, but when they aren't, they tend to read low. Especially if your usage is fairly low, the minimum usage to push the wheels forward may be higher than your standby loads.
If you've been on a meter that reads low for a long time, a new meter (mechanical or electronic) will be a big jump.
coretx 1 days ago [-]
Yes, but those don't help manipulate consumer behavior and awareness.
ZeroGravitas 1 days ago [-]
Apparently the UK government estimated that in 2016 and 2019 the average household saved £11 on their bill due to this feedback from smart meters. This page estimates the cost at £15 so 2/3rds is recovered just from that effect.
ajb 1 days ago [-]
There's no way it only cost £15 in total to install a smart meter. The cost of the meter has to be at least that much and then you have paying a guy to actually install it (which in my case took 3 attempts and caused a gas leak, which took 4 or 5 guys several hours to fix - although hopefully that's unusual).
ZeroGravitas 7 hours ago [-]
15 pounds cost per year, 11 pounds saving per year, for an average user.
Not sure how many years the cost is assumed to be spread over and what the ongoing running costs are but that's the per average customer cost apparently.
ajb 7 hours ago [-]
Ah, my bad. 15 per year is more plausible
Brybry 23 hours ago [-]
From a cursory search:
£88 to £143 installation cost in the 2019 analysis. [3:p.21] Smart meter hardware cost £36 to £120 [3:p.22]
£67 to £107 installation cost in the 2016 analysis. [2:p.12] £15 (in home display) + £44 electric + £57 gas + £29 comms equipment costs [2:p.10]
It also took 3 attempts for me but they never showed up.
6510 1 days ago [-]
Hard to tell, they are all new now, eventually they will all be old. Then we will know what it really costs.
RobotToaster 1 days ago [-]
Maybe, but the long term planning has been atrocious, millions of smart meters already need replacing because of the 3g switch off.
It's massively wasteful if they are all going to need replacing again in 10 years when 4g is switched off.
Not to mention the concerns about electricity companies remotely forcing meters into prepayment mode or switching off people's electricity supply.
celsoazevedo 23 hours ago [-]
Planing has been bad, but those smart meters can use 2G/EDGE. The meters using mobile networks use O2, which should keep 2G online until the 2030s.
3G is being discontinued first because it uses more power and is inefficient for data. 2G on the other hand uses less power, allows phones without VoLTE support to make calls, and IoT devices to use (slow) data. Over the next year or so we should see networks restricting data over 2G/EDGE for regular devices (calls only), keeping the data side just for IoT.
Symbiote 1 days ago [-]
Something (2G?) is generally staying available so "smart" devices can work for decades.
blitzar 23 hours ago [-]
> the government may on net be paying a subsidy to get wind power built but what was the next best option? If that costs more than the CfD then that's a win.
Direct investment with ownership - that would make money for the tax payer but would be "socialism".
dtgriscom 24 hours ago [-]
Nitpick: such recurring costs are not "expensive"; they are "high". It's like saying a plane is flying at a "large" altitude, or a car on the highway is traveling at a "big" speed.
Native english speaker, but definitely not a grammarian, so I can't explain why...
trebligdivad 1 days ago [-]
How much does digging a hole or laying a cable cost here in the UK compared to elsewhere? I'm just trying to get a feel for whether things like the transmission/distribution network costs are higher than elsewhere.
HPsquared 1 days ago [-]
The HS2 project is mostly that - and very, very expensive it seems.
fy20 15 hours ago [-]
I'm in another Northern European country, and 7c/kWh goes towards network and transmission costs.
asdefghyk 22 hours ago [-]
To pay for renewable energy ? Thats what's happening in my country , although renewable energy supporters claim renewables are cheaper. .....
n0mad01 18 hours ago [-]
I'll mention it briefly here in case anyone missed the answer: short-term tax revenues.
baggy_trough 1 days ago [-]
29p / kWh doesn't hold a candle to PG&E costs in the San Francisco Bay Area.
It's ironic that it's quite a bit cheaper to use natural gas here, since we're supposed to convert to electricity to save the planet.
doctorpangloss 1 days ago [-]
The cost of bailing out owners of burnt down homes in Paradise, CA worth $0 for $700k is rolled into every San Francisco PG&E bill.
inferiorhuman 18 hours ago [-]
And Hinkley, and San Bruno, and Santa Rosa, and elsewhere in Sonoma County, and a few billion in stock buybacks, another few billion in dividends, another few hundred million in executive bonuses, etc., etc., etc.
Buying off the guy doing research into hexavalent chromium wasn't cheap either. Nor was keeping Willie Brown on their payroll.
tristor 1 days ago [-]
I think that's a bit of color on that, since those homes weren't worth $0 until PG&E caused a fire that burnt them down by neglecting required maintenance.
tehlike 1 days ago [-]
In a way it's subsidizing people in the country side.
tristor 1 days ago [-]
No, it's making people whole for real monetary and property damages caused by PG&E's negligence. It's the settlement of a lawsuit, because PG&E was negligent and caused damage.
Whether those people rebuild in Paradise, CA or move somewhere else with the money they received from the settlement is an entirely different proposition. This is not "subsidizing people in the country side". PG&E fucked up and now they have to pay. PG&E is choosing to pass the cost to its customers rather than eating into its profits, which is a decision that California allowed them to make.
EDIT: You and the GP I originally replied to seem to be making the argument that after PG&E burned all these people's homes down they should have been allowed to just tell them to get bent so your utility bill wouldn't go up in the city? What happens when it's /your/ home that gets burnt down? "Sorry bucko, but your house is worth $0 as it's just now a smoldering ruin. No soup for you. - Thanks PG&E"
cogman10 1 days ago [-]
I'm not saying PG&E shouldn't pay out, they were directly responsible.
But I will say that Paradise was in a bad state prior to the fire, simply nobody knew how bad. While a wildfire like that wasn't guaranteed, they were just one bad lightning strike away from the same disaster.
Funding FEMA, forest management services, and wildfire fighters something that isn't always prioritized and it should be.
akira2501 21 hours ago [-]
> simply nobody knew how bad
It was a 100 year old C hook that caused the fire. Which failed in high winds. Which drove the fire. It was PG&E's responsibility to know "how bad" this was. They literally lost track of their own transmission lines.
ericd 19 hours ago [-]
If it wasn’t that, wouldn’t it have been a lightning strike, or something else? Fundamentally, the problem is that the houses were in an area that has become incredibly flammable. It’s not all PG&E’s fault.
akira2501 14 hours ago [-]
Those have been known to start smaller fires before. Management strategies for them and recognition of the conditions that give rise to them were implemented. This fire burned worse than before because of poor maintenance on and around the line and because they did not shut it off quickly enough to prevent additional damage. The line was in a remote location and access to it was severely degraded.
Fundamentally the problem can be solved with management and engineering. It's entirely PG&E's fault. This was adjudicated and settled.
tehlike 1 days ago [-]
+1
tehlike 1 days ago [-]
I am actually not saying PGE shouldn't have to pay etc. But this dynamic is part of being a country. In some ways, it's similar to the insurance industry where we get a pool of very healthy or young and sick or old people.
What PGE did was terrible, but also there's a lot to blame on CA directly too.
alwa 22 hours ago [-]
Why is that a ratepayer’s prerogative rather than the home insurer’s?
lizzas 12 hours ago [-]
Tort Law
(plus see tristors answer as to it being passed on and not coming from profits)
akira2501 21 hours ago [-]
You've apparently never had power run out to a new property that's not had it before. You pay for that. The poles, the lines, the installation. The power company doesn't just run power to you because you ask. They subsidize themselves.
Then PG&E takes the money, leaves 100 year old equipment in place, which inevitably breaks, and burns down an entire forest along with their homes.
You genuinely think these people are being "subsidized" by all this? That it's their fault the PG&E top brass didn't earn a bonus that year?
tehlike 16 hours ago [-]
Subsidizing in an insurance sense. It's a high risk area, insurance should have covered it. If it was too high risk, insurance shouldn't have covered it, or charge much more etc.
akira2501 14 hours ago [-]
Insurance premiums are different for different people and are decided by underwriters based on expected risk. What subsidy are they receiving on those premiums? They were previously paying a special property tax to cover the additional fire services required for the area. This is not a particularly high income area.
Meanwhile everyone in Sacramento can buy federally subsidized flood insurance. The federal government also built the levees surrounding the county. The entire downtown core had to be jacked up several feet due to persistent flooding. Should everyone in Sacramento move too? Should we end the insurance subsidy?
doctorpangloss 1 days ago [-]
Did PG&E cause the fire? They are legally obligated to serve those customers. It would be safer if they simply didn’t do that no?
You could argue that nobody should be living in a place guaranteed to be destroyed, whether by landslides or wildfires, but the government tried that in Palos Verdes and got sued, lost, and now is bailing out those homeowners to get out of services obligations all the same.
Suffice it to say, you have bought into a very well marketed point of view. There was a lot of ceremony to enact procedural blame on PG&E, but it obscures all the far simpler solutions, that are far more just. People in San Francisco are paying higher rates, no? So PG&E may have been responsible for something somewhere, but the liability is being borne functionally by taxpayers, via a compulsory payment for energy, to balance the books on assholes living in places at risk of wildfires with overinflated asset values. Ultimately, the government here has decided that you should get government-guaranteed-risk-free market rate returns on owner occupied real estate.
wat10000 1 days ago [-]
They did cause the fire.
You could certainly argue that some sort of fire was inevitable, and that the fire would have been much less damaging if people hadn’t built their houses in such bad places.
But the law doesn’t really care about that. You can’t avoid liability by arguing what would have happened or what should have happened. If your negligence causes a fire and that fire destroys a house, you’re liable for it regardless.
toast0 22 hours ago [-]
> But the law doesn’t really care about that.
California has contribitory negligence. If the court determined it was negligent to build or keep a house in these places and that contributed to the loss, it must determine the share of loss attributable to each party and reduce the award. In some states, a party must have be less than half at fault to receive compensation, but California doesn't have a minimum, if you are 99% at fault and the other party is 1%, you can get 1% of your loss compensated.
tristor 1 days ago [-]
> Did PG&E cause the fire?
Yes. As I recall it, the fire was caused by downed lines that were energized during a dry spell, and the reason the lines were downed was due to negligence around maintaining the C-Hooks holding their high voltage transmission lines. PG&E knew that they needed to be replaced every so often, had a policy that dictated when they needed to be replaced, and then ignored that policy which ultimately allowed a C-Hook to fail and the energized line to start the fire. In fact, PG&E had commissioned a study as far back as 1987 to look into this issue and confirmed that these hooks had a limited lifespan.
They had clear knowledge of the issue. They had a responsibility to maintain the system to prevent the issue. They set policies around how that maintenance should be conducted. Then they willfully ignored their own policies, which lead to the issue they were responsible to prevent. That's textbook negligence.
So, yes, PG&E /did/ cause the fire. They were negligent in doing so. They are liable for the damages.
creato 1 days ago [-]
I agree PGE was negligent, but it also doesn't make sense to assign the entire cost of the resulting fire to PGE. The scale of the fire damage was a result of many factors, only some of which are due to PGE. A huge destructive fire was a matter of time. Whether it was caused by PGE, lightning, or an RV tire blowout was a matter of chance.
Or another way to put it, how much liability would you give the RV drivers in these two scenarios?
The cost wasn’t assigned to PG&E. Brother, the CPUC is approving the rate increases to pay back the settlement. You are getting the same electricity today as you did in 2019. The entire cost was assigned to YOU.
There are so many smart people on this forum. How hard is it to understand the spelled-out-in-the-law relationship between your compulsory payment for electricity rising and the cost of the settlements?
richwater 1 days ago [-]
> . A huge destructive fire was a matter of time.
You can't avoid legal ramifications by saying _something_ was bound to happen
creato 18 hours ago [-]
So then, $1.6B of liability to the driver of the RV at the Carr fire, and a few thousand to the Colorado RV driver? For the exact same error in both cases?
Legally, maybe you are right. I honestly don't know. It doesn't seem right to me though.
zootboy 1 days ago [-]
And the photos of said C-hooks are pretty damning:
> This buyout program provides a viable pathway forward for our most vulnerable community members
> Hong estimates that his home would have been worth about $3.6 million two years ago
Yeah, this person who was able to afford a $3.6M home sure sounds like "our most vulnerable" people. He needs a bailout for making a poor decision on buying that house in a place prone to landslides. Not the hungry kids in our schools whose parents can't afford/won't provide healthy meals.
We got money for millionaires but not hungry kids and people with chronic medical needs.
> They are weeks into a major renovation after a fissure forced apart rooms in their home.
Their home is constantly being torn apart by the ground and yet they're committed to staying. Insanity.
doctorpangloss 1 days ago [-]
Then it should be obvious to you the parallels with Paradise, CA, where average home sales prices were at $700k just prior to the wildfire, growing faster than San Francisco’s prices: the reason we are doing this bailout is due to the politically powerful interests of a lot of wealthy savers. The people in this thread saying “it’s PG&E’s fault” are incredibly naive.
vel0city 1 days ago [-]
> Then it should be obvious to you the parallels with Paradise, CA
It is. Insane all ratepayers are shouldering all the cost to rebuild rich people's mansions.
scheme271 1 days ago [-]
That 3.6M million dollar home might have been worth a lot less before asset appreciation happened. There's quite a few people living in expensive areas that bought homes 20-30 years ago when it was dirt cheap, the place became popular, and now they're a teacher or something who owns a multi-million dollar home while living on 80k a year or something.
vel0city 1 days ago [-]
The article also mentioned their home was a new build and they moved in a few years before this happened.
But sure, keep telling me their new mansion on quicksand needs a bailout and they're far more needful than hungry malnourished kids.
> now they're a teacher or something who owns a multi-million dollar home while living on 80k a year or something.
TBH, if their home is now worth millions, they should retire and move someplace cheaper. The market is telling them that land is worth way more than a lifetime of their earnings. They should capitalize on that. They're still far weather people that he vast majority of Americans, and probably the top 0.001% of people on Earth. That they failed to cash their lotto ticket in time before their mansion on the quicksand fell apart leaves me zero sympathy.
I wish I could fail at cashing in my $3.6M lotto ticket I bought for relative pennies. At least I would have been given the chance, no?
riversflow 1 days ago [-]
That's just factually incorrect. Paradise was forced to take PGE stock (at some unrealistic valuation) as a repayment. The settlement is years in the rear view mirror now. I actually live in the area and meet people from Paradise. Most people involved got absolutely shafted and the money is mostly going to lawyers and accountants in San Francisco. Surprise.
PGE costs have gone up because the state's Public Utilities Commission and many of our leaders in Sacramento are in bed with PGE. PGE has been vastly underinvesting in infrastructure development and maintenance for the last 50 years, which is at least partially the PUC's fault by letting them take profits instead of forcing them to either lower rates or reinvest. The Camp Fire shined a light on the neglect, now they have to play catch up on 50 years of deferred maintenance in many quite remote areas.
Local Sacramento ABC Station actually does some decent investigative report on this. If you are interested there is a fair amount of content to go through, as they started the investigation in 2022, the series is called Fire Power Money.
I appreciate your wisdom to use ChatGPT's search to verify your facts about the Paradise settlements. If you're asking me, is it a good idea to administer a settlement between PG&E and the Camp Fire victims? No. We agree there. I don't doubt for a second that ratepayers and victims are getting a bad deal! I don't think we should have ever agreed to the settlement, and Sacramento made a huge mistake.
But: the settlement's law traded on the exact empathy you do right now.
Here's where we disagree: what evidence do you need to see to be convinced that nobody should be living in your community? Harsh words right? It's the exact opposite of the empathy you are trying to get through, that I appreciate.
I think smart people struggle with climate science, viewing it as strictly a set of facts, when in fact it is deeply political: it is telling us where we can and cannot live, which is as powerful as violence-protected borders.
We have pretty unequivocal evidence that tells us on the time scales of realizing real estate returns, some communities will be "worth" "$0."
Do you think we should have insurance of last resort in California? Insurers read the same scientific studies and don't protect people's homes from wildfires. It is basically immaterial in the long term which human activity causes the wildfire - as you say, the settlement is in the rear view mirror - it could have been a gender reveal party that started the flame, and then, what would you do, make that person personally liable for billions of dollars? It would be bailout all the same, poorly administered, because it is simply impossible to not "absolutely shaft" someone who says their home is worth $700k when it is actually worth $0.
It costs $42m to just bail out 20 homes in Palos Verdes, a community with very politically powerful people. It's a slow motion crisis in California.
Do you think we should bail out all the home owners in San Francisco, who bought their homes at $40,000, pay tiny Prop 13 dynastically protected rates and therefore pay little taxes to their own community, and have things nominally worth $1.4m, when an earthquake hits? That's not your community, and suddenly, oh man, that sounds expensive, man, you don't have bottomless empathy for that community. Should nobody be living in San Francisco because of the earthquake risk? Tough question.
So what if I spin some narrative that someone somewhere is responsible or liable? It is impossible for any entity to pay off all those people, including the government - it couldn't even compensate the 10x fewer victims of Camp Fire.
The solution to me is simple: don't buy a house, and if you do, don't make it your only means of savings. I can escape a wildfire, and I think I can escape an earthquake, but my life will not be ruined, as long as I do not own an overpriced home. You are talking about leaders in bed with PG&E or whatever, conspiracies, and right in front of you, you are surrounded, in your community, by people who believe their real estate gives market returns risk free.
vladslav 1 days ago [-]
I sometimes catch myself thinking about whether it’s worth collecting wood by the road to burn as a way to heat the house.
tehlike 1 days ago [-]
Some people on craigslist sometimes are giving away wood for free (you just need to arrange transport).
So yes, in some ways, it'd be whole lot cheaper, and nostalgic too.
inferiorhuman 9 hours ago [-]
Sounds great until you check an air quality map. It's been miserable here in the Bay Area between the storms. AQI of 100–150 depending.
barbazoo 1 days ago [-]
I would say it's tragic, not ironic.
tehlike 1 days ago [-]
For reference, I think we get around 60-65c/kWh here...
I sometimes hangout on /r/homelab, and people are talking about their 600-700W homelab setup. That would cost about 300-350$/month here.
semi-extrinsic 1 days ago [-]
People are screaming from the rooftops here when we occasionally hit 15 c/kWh in winter. In August this year our electricity cost was $15 for the whole house. Hydropower is nice like that.
My homelab in the basement is running an old Dell R730. It draws 200-300W depending on load. I could get something much more efficient, but then I would need to run a space heater in that room for most of the year...
wil421 1 days ago [-]
Yikes, my rate is $0.0825/kWH in the southern US. Part Nuclear but too much Natural Gas in my opinion.
tehlike 1 days ago [-]
That's a great rate. My homelab excluding poe stuff I suspect will end up using 300-500W. Not a lot of money but still annoying to be paying.
1. 56G mellanox switch - 35W
2. An old box I made a router - 50W
3. A two node server - 220W each
Replacing (2) with something that idles at 10W
Will probably do one node for (3) so got more ram to try out.
I wish we had cheap energy. I could add much more stuff to this lol.
wil421 1 days ago [-]
My UniFi mad PoE setup draws about 100w and my NAS another 100w or so. The i3 in my Supermicro board has been quite the efficient little CPU. My AMD 7950 and a 4070ti had to be taken off one my UPS because it was going over 1000w at times. Not sure what the full draw is while gaming.
The thing that kept me away from retired server hardware isn’t so much the power draw as it is the fan noise.
tehlike 16 hours ago [-]
I have a thing in my garage that makes more noise than a plane taking off (from inside the cabin). So I concur.
Switch is not too bad, but the 2u (2x 1u nodes in one 2u package with a title or 2x 1u fans) server is a total madness.
barbazoo 1 days ago [-]
That'd be GBP 0.48-0.52
1 days ago [-]
secondcoming 1 days ago [-]
That's the charge for energy usage, but there's another charge - the Standing Charge - that's charged per day just for having a connection to the grid.
In 2021, for me this was £0.236 per day, today it's £0.60 per day.
gweinberg 21 hours ago [-]
They are getting reamed. Oops, we pay about the same in California.
nemo44x 20 hours ago [-]
The UK should fire their government and hire one that can deliver cheap energy via policy that creates the potential for a cheap energy market. This isn’t hard.
Symbiote 10 hours ago [-]
They fired the government earlier this year.
The new one removed the ban on building wind turbines on land within 48 hours of taking power, and are pushing through new transmission lines where they were previously blocked.
nradov 1 days ago [-]
I find it so weird that UK citizens have often just sort of passively chosen to be poor. Like they still had food rationing for years after WW2. Is there some sort of cultural blind spot which prevents them from understanding that there are better ways to do things?
amiga386 1 days ago [-]
I find it weird that medical bankruptcies are a thing, or people involved in car crashes demanding they don't get an ambulance and critical emergency care, because they know they'll be billed thousands or hundreds of thousands for being out-of-network.
Is there some sort of cultural blind-spot?
Or maybe each country has their own ups and downs, and we can accept that even if there is objectively a "better way" to do things, and a country's government can be convinced to try this better way, it stil has to bring the people along with it, and those millions of people all have all kinds of hangups and incentives that get in the way; politics are hard.
With regard to post-war food rationing, much of it was due to crop failure or stockpiles being ruined by terrible weather, and obviously the rest of Europe was ravaged and destroyed. But it was also political. Labour liked rationing and the Tories didn't, and the Tories stoked public anger at it. Clearly the UK citizens didn't like it, it was the main fight of the 1950 general election.... which Labour narrowly won. Then Labour called a snap election in 1951, won a record high voteshare, but narrowly lost to the Tories.
Soon enough we'll have the best of both worlds. High taxes, stripped out NHS then American style medical and bankruptcy.
Can't wait for people to moan about it on LBC.
dukeyukey 1 days ago [-]
> Like they still had food rationing for years after WW2
To be fair the UK was completely broke and responsible for feeding half of Europe.
everfrustrated 20 hours ago [-]
>responsible for feeding half of Europe.
How so? The UK has not been self sufficient for food since before WWII. Hence food rationing for many years after the war ended.
dukeyukey 10 hours ago [-]
As in importing and paying for it. Europe's economy was in pieces.
Nextgrid 1 days ago [-]
The UK is completely broken by corruption disguised as incompetence, with everyone in power to change things profiting off the status-quo and thus having no incentive to make the change. Add in a steady stream of distractions where the media sows race/xenophobia warfare so the people are too busy fighting between themselves to realize who their real enemy is.
ben_w 1 days ago [-]
> Is there some sort of cultural blind spot which prevents them from understanding that there are better ways to do things?
Yes, but it's not specifically British: most nations (and many companies) I've looked at in any depth seem to have this blind spot — "not invented here" is one of several kinds of in-group favoritism.
Also see this with diets, religious and political affiliations, and back in the day used to see it with Mac vs. PC.
bfmalky 1 days ago [-]
What a bizarre thing to say.
I guess there are some examples of self sabotage, such as Brexit, but no, on the whole people in the UK do not choose to be poor. Like any nation we are at the mercy of the outcomes of the decisions of our politicians and larger global effects that are out of our control.
Also, there are plenty of wealthy people in the UK. You do know that right? The UK is still around 6th in the nominal GDP rankings, so not quite an economic basket case (yet).
skippyboxedhero 1 days ago [-]
It isn't bizarre.
The UK has many policies in place that are designed to limit output. These policies are not only not unpopular, they are wildly popular and are basically impossible to change.
Housing is one, infrastructure is another. Like people say we aren't choosing to poor...HS2 is the most expensive rail project ever per mile, double the cost of the outrageously expensive one in California. Why? Because our system gives unlimited power to lawyers, consultants...we were building bat tunnels (literally tunnels for bats) that cost £100m.
And it isn't limited to this. Look at the last Budget: we are in the middle of fiscal collapse. Tens of billions for green energy projects that add to the cost of bills, huge pay rises for the public sector (where productivity is at the same level as 1997), on and on.
How can you not think this stuff is intentional? There is no reason for almost everything we are doing, it makes absolutely no sense but we are being driven off the cliff by politicians, civil servants, lawyers, media/PR, consultants who control this country...to rephrase that: you are saying that there was no reason 11th century Britain couldn't become very rich when it was funnelling all the money to monasteries that were producing nothing but fat monks? The intention of the system isn't to make Britain rich, it is make people inside the system rich...which it is doing (again, HS2 cost £1bn for a railway that didn't get built...where do you think that money goes? there is no railway but there were tens of thousands of consultants...).
tom_ 21 hours ago [-]
But what if Britain was the people inside the system all along? The fact this stuff is so popular suggests this might actually be the case!
petesergeant 1 days ago [-]
Can you give some examples? Other than the utter twatscape that was Brexit, it’s a pretty competitive country in most ways
hnburnsy 1 days ago [-]
Start by looking at the crazy over-regulation that happens to farmers in the UK.
petesergeant 1 days ago [-]
I thought they were still pretty well in sync with the old EU laws (CAP) — what are some specific examples you object to?
hnburnsy 1 days ago [-]
NVZ, EIA, animal tracking, just to name a few that have a high burden, with little benefit.
switch007 1 days ago [-]
No, the US actively chose to make us poor
jorblumesea 1 days ago [-]
This is rich, given you seem to be American.
smeeger 1 days ago [-]
you have to admit english people have a weird tick when it comes to poverty. you worship poor people. and yes, you guys willingly live like you are poor when you guys are definitely not poor
bfmalky 1 days ago [-]
This is such a weird take. I have no idea where you are getting your ideas from, but I don't know if you've heard of this thing we have in the UK called 'the class system'. Poor people are definitely not worshipped in the UK. And the wealthy do generally like to demonstrate their wealth in the usual ways (cars, homes, holidays, schooling, etc), so I'm wondering where you've got this idea that people in the UK somehow romanticise poverty.
toolslive 1 days ago [-]
It's a cultural difference I observed between Europeans and Americans: Americans hate it being called unsuccessful/poor, but don't mind being called dumb. Europeans hate being called stupid, but don't mind being called unsuccessful/poor. Obviously, it's not a binary thing, but there's some fundamental difference in attitude.
nradov 23 hours ago [-]
Stupid is as stupid does. We Americans love Forrest Gump. Success comes more from hard work plus luck than from intelligence.
jorblumesea 1 days ago [-]
I'm not english at all. Just pointing out that no American should ever be criticizing anyone for how their government and society is setup. The only reasons Americans need to be "rich" is because health insurance is a scam, a car accident can bankrupt you, the tax code is entirely for the wealthy, and social services are poor at best. It's a fake wealth, one where you can have 3M in investments and not be able to retire because the system is set up so poorly.
Amezarak 7 hours ago [-]
> The only reasons Americans need to be "rich" is because health insurance is a scam, a car accident can bankrupt you,
92% of Americans have health insurance. About a third have insurance through the government. Rather than being a scam, most Americans don't understand just how much it costs because of the employer subsidies. At any rate, given the existence of both auto and health insurance, it is hard to go bankrupt from a car accident. Medical bankruptcy gets a lot of attention because it should never happen, not because it is common.
> the tax code is entirely for the wealthy
This makes no sense coming from the UK. The US taxation system is remarkably progressive. Marginal tax brackets, a large standard deduction, and CTC/EITC mean about ~40% of American households pay no federal income tax, or even pay a negative tax (eg., they get paid.) Meanwhile, the UK has the insanely regressive 18% VAT. This would never pass muster in the US because of its regressiveness.
vixen99 1 days ago [-]
Not for long I suspect. There has been a rather marked exodus of millionaires from Britain since July as a result of a range of fiscal changes promised by the government. Some significant businesses have decided to relocate. Unrelated to this: now it's been found that a majority of Brits receive more in benefits than they contribute in taxes. Not a good outlook. Meanwhile it's estimated that the richest 1% of earners already pay 29% of the country’s income tax.
ben_w 1 days ago [-]
> now it's been found that a majority of Brits receive more in benefits than they contribute in taxes. Not a good outlook.
Isn't it an automatic requirement of the income distribution?
The median not being the mean, and all.
desas 23 hours ago [-]
> now it's been found that a majority of Brits receive more in benefits than they contribute in taxes
This has been the case for decades. It's not news.
kergonath 22 hours ago [-]
But surely it’s Labour’s fault anyway. Damn socialists.
jnsaff2 1 days ago [-]
Here's a controversial take: electricity is incredibly cheap for the utility it provides.
It is also a fairly well working market in the current system context.
I witnessed this by working for an electricity related startup and by doing all the math involved it was really hard to make the math work out right. The possibility to optimize is there but the margins are really slim, even with the large price swings in the time of use markets in EU.
Can the infrastructure be better? Absolutely, it needs ton of work, but again margins are slim and incentives for large improvements are small.
Do we have a dire need for renewable and moreover dispatchable renewable energy? Absolutely. This means more clean generation and more storage (quite hard).
Does energy feel expensive for households? Yes.
Is it actually expensive?
Could you imagine life without it?
What would it be like?
If you were in this situation, how much would you be willing to pay then?
Nextgrid 1 days ago [-]
> Is it actually expensive? Could you imagine life without it?
I don't think this kind of rhetoric helps in any way those who are in "fuel poverty" (which seems to be a UK specific term, as I've never heard that in any other context) and have to choose between food or heating.
Energy is not some magic supernatural thing we're running out of. Given the right equipment it can be created out of thin air (wind and/or solar). The reason UK's energy prices are so high is decades of corruption disguised as mismanagement/incompetence, not that the absolute price of electricity is somehow high.
1 days ago [-]
drcongo 1 days ago [-]
The same author wrote the blog post that was on the front page here recently about the plummeting cost of solar [0]. I really like his posts, readable by someone like me who is way below layman on the subject, but I think also pretty interesting to someone with experience in the field.
Yeah, but that is pretty much an irrelevance here in the UK.
We don't even get that much sun in summer, today sunrise was at 0842, sunset at 1540 - so not even 7 hrs of daylight. Even then it was a very dull day.
So in the period (winter) when we most need power, local solar is essentially useless.
Local wind may be better, but the economics for it don't really work - requiring 100% gas turbine backup, and high costs due to intermittent use of said turbines .
edent 22 hours ago [-]
Sorry, that's not true. I have (non-optimal) solar panels in the UK. I generate 100% of my annual electricity usage from them across the year.
In summer, I can easily get over 20kWh per day - against a daily usage of 10kWh. I release all of my data at https://gitlab.com/edent/solar-data/
> My battery charged overnight, so I only drew about 4kWh from the grid during the day.
You are in large part confirming what GP is saying, no?
The 100% annually is of limited use when it's so skewed. Sure having local batteries are a good thing but also costly.
drcongo 23 hours ago [-]
The author is in the UK and covers most of that in the article.
samatman 1 days ago [-]
Third option not discussed: have the military leverage its existing nuclear reactor competency to build a fleet of nationalized nuclear power generation stations. I'm not saying that they should tile the island with submarine-scale reactors, I'm saying that their supply chain for building those knows how to build nuclear power stations.
The only thing which makes this prospect expensive, is the lack of political will to make it not expensive. So find the political will.
rjsw 1 days ago [-]
On one level, your idea is being followed. Rolls-Royce build the UK submarine reactors and are working on developing small modular reactors [1] for civilian use.
A big difference though is that UK (and US) submarine reactors use enriched uranium, SMRs won't.
Last time I looked the Royce SMR design could use the same fuel supply chain and processing facilities, which is a huge plus compared to having to set up everything all over again for something like metallic fuel.
samatman 1 days ago [-]
> A big difference though is that UK (and US) submarine reactors use enriched uranium, SMRs won't.
I addressed that difference in my second sentence. The technological competence is to a large degree transferable, the specific designs are not.
And yes, something like the SMR is exactly what I'm talking about, as long as it comes with enough commitment and momentum to actually do the job.
this_user 1 days ago [-]
And how exactly would adding more of the most expensive way to generate power help reduce costs?
> And how exactly would adding more of the most expensive way to generate power help reduce costs?
Yes, the Australian GenCost report is about generation costs (no mention of transmission or storage in that graphic, for instance).
The https://www.electricitybills.uk breakdown shows that the cost to the consumer consists of far more than just the cost of generating electricity.
Intermittents generally connect to the distribution network (given their smaller output).
Intermittents necessitate transmission upgrades because wind farms are in a different location to people and require overbuilding of capacity.
Intermittents require more balancing because a passing cloud or lull in the wind affects their output.
Intermittents require capacity payments for the backup (methane) generators that have to keep on standby.
Plus let us not forget that the intermittent generators get revenue from RO, CfD, and FIT.
skippyboxedhero 1 days ago [-]
It isn't more expensive than what the UK has.
The reason we are in this position is because we looked at building nuclear in the mid-2010s, the cost would have been about half current prices, we didn't build because they were too expensive.
Nothing has been more costly than not investing in capacity.
RobotToaster 1 days ago [-]
It's only expensive because we build so few, so have to start the design from scratch each time.
If you look at China they design one nuke station and just copy and paste it to reduce costs, since parts can be mass produced.
logicchains 1 days ago [-]
Empirically it doesn't seem that way given countries with nuclear power have cheaper electricity than those without. It's especially illustrative to compare power costs in France and Germany before and after Germany closed all its nuclear plants.
swayvil 1 days ago [-]
[flagged]
everfrustrated 20 hours ago [-]
The Rolls-Royce SMR designs are considerably larger in MW than the subs so I doubt there is anything shared or any efficiencys to come from that sadly.
nradov 1 days ago [-]
There is a bit of overlap but military reactors designed for propulsion have little in common with civilian reactors designed for efficient power production. They are optimized for entirely different priorities.
immibis 1 days ago [-]
I know that at some point in tbe last few years, oil and gas companies invested in uranium mines so they could continue their game of "you base your entire civilization on the stuff that only we can dig out of the ground, so pay up." That was the same time these comments started appearing all over the internet.
Also, I don't want another Chernobyl next to me house, so those reactors had better be properly made, therefore expensive.
samatman 1 days ago [-]
Believe it or not, but the matter going into solar panels and batteries also has to be dug out of the ground. The difference is that you need a great deal more of that matter to deliver comparable amounts of power compared to fission.
immibis 2 hours ago [-]
The difference is that with nonrenewable power, you have to keep digging more stuff out of the ground to get more energy, which allows the mine owners to stay in a position of leverage over the world economy. With renewables, you only have to get more material if you want to expand your production capacity. Additionally, there are many ways they can be constructed out of different materials. This terrifies the oil company executives.
LosEstupidos 16 hours ago [-]
[flagged]
goodpoint 1 days ago [-]
...because houses are made of cardboard and use electricity for heating.
xd 1 days ago [-]
I'm not sure where you've got this idea from. Even "new builds" in the UK, with there questionable building methods (which you may be referring to?) are mostly insulation and incredibly efficient to heat.
desas 1 days ago [-]
The new builds are made of brick and block, and are indeed insulated really well. It's the millions of older houses, particularly Victorian ones, that are made of brick, are not usually insulated well, and are often intentionally draughty.
Eavolution 1 days ago [-]
What would the reason for being intentionally draughty be? The only thing I can think of is if they were burning candles/gas lamps to improve air quality?
neilalexander 1 days ago [-]
To reduce condensation and mould.
albertgoeswoof 1 days ago [-]
Damp is worse than cold
Nextgrid 1 days ago [-]
Resistive heating is still a big thing, including new products being developed.
Here's the latest: electric instant water heaters designed as drop-in replacements for gas boilers in hydronic heating systems: https://stromltd.com
All the inconveniences of a hydronic system and resistive electric in a single solution, what's not to like?
This is the perfect "slumlord special", installed in place of more economical (and ecological) solutions such as A/C knowing full well the tenant is going to pay the resulting astronomical bills.
Symbiote 10 hours ago [-]
Is naming the company in Danish (strøm means power) supposed to suggest Scandinavian efficiency?
AFAIK resistive electrical heating is banned in Denmark, except in buildings for only occasional use (summer house etc).
goodpoint 10 hours ago [-]
Incredible, downvoted to -4 for pointing out poor insulation.
kranke155 22 hours ago [-]
The Uk should just burn coal for a while. I’m sorry but it’s the only sane solution. The current energy prices are wiping out the economy.
jatin101 1 days ago [-]
Commercial energy broker here - the only 2 'real' costs in your price are the wholesale and supplier costs. Choose suppliers that offer a fully-fixed electricity contract, so that made up variable costs such as distribution, network, etc are all factored into the unit rate that the supplier charges you for your contract. Avoid smart meters at all costs. Renewable / green contracts are always a lot more expensive than standard contracts. I help businesses across the UK get the lowest rates in the market, if it's something you need help with reach out to me - yousaveutilities.co.uk
AnotherGoodName 1 days ago [-]
Variable rate smart billing can be amazing if you have the right setup though!
Eg. An electric car that can do V2G with the following;
Power to the grid when Rate > Y and carCharge > 50%
Charge the car when Rate < X.
There's various posts on electric car groups where people have the above setup and pull in ridiculous profits. Your typical electric car can output power for a very long time during the ridiculous 10000% price hikes and on the flipside when the price occasionally hits ~0 charging is basically free.
If you have some system of power storage variable rate can make you money.
And then you get some big energy dry spell and rates go to 1,000x their normal price and it starts costing you $20 to run the kettle for a few minutes.
Hopefully you noticed that spike in prices ahead of time!
AnotherGoodName 1 days ago [-]
The fixed rates that companies charge just smooth out these variances since they all pay a variable rate behind the scenes. The fixed rate providers will do rolling brownouts if the grid gets to this state to save themselves from ruin. If you're on a variable rate you can choose to cut yourself off in these periods.
Essentially the downside you mention is worse on the fixed rate: On fixed rate you'll have no power at all - the fixed rate providers will cut power completely to protect themselves financially if the grid is in a prolonged period of extreme price (they did this in Texas). On a variable rate you can choose to cut yourself off or not.
rcxdude 1 days ago [-]
The second part is indeed wrong: most consumer energy markets have a wholesale market and grid operator, and the grid operator is ultimately responsible for the call on brown-outs. The companies that sell electricity retail to invididual homes are generally buying on that wholesale market, but they're not in a position to cut off their customers: there's straight-up no mechanism to do that on a moment's notice, because the grid-level control doesn't overlap with the retail seller's customers (these retail companies are often basically just a financial instrument that turns the combination of variable wholesale and grid operator fees into a fixed price bill and some customer support: your neighbour can buy from a completely different company and if anyone wants to shut off you but not them they need to come to your house and physically disconnect the lines). What happens in a situation like texas is that the retail companies who are selling at a fixed price start losing money fast, and can't really do anything about it in the short term. If they've built up enough of a buffer from their margins, they may survive, or they may go bankrupt and their customers will need to move to a different provider, but that's a process that takes weeks to months, not minutes in a price spike.
(A similar thing happened in the UK: there weren't any brown-outs, but the spike in wholesale energy prices sent a lot of smaller retail energy companies under. If you were with one of them, like I was, you had no interruption to your supply and in fact won out compared to those on variable tarrifs: the losers were the investors in the retail companies and those who they were unable to pay).
I will agree in general though: unless you have particularly unusual energy consumption habits, or think that the energy market will go up more than the retail companies thing they will, you'll probably win out on a variable rate contract over time, especially if you have a battery to time-shift your consumption (And with the most common UK provider for this, there is still a cap on how much you'll pay, even if wholesale prices skyrocket like they did in Texas).
toast0 22 hours ago [-]
> if anyone wants to shut off you but not them they need to come to your house and physically disconnect the line
I'm not in the UK, but I gather my utility can do a radio controlled disconnect (they may need to come onsite to reconnect). I would hope that wouldn't be used to enable a virtual brown out for customers of a particular energy marketplace, but I think it's a capability of many communicating meters.
vel0city 1 days ago [-]
> they did this in Texas
That is not what happened in Texas. The REPs had zero say to do a rolling brownout. "Rolling" outages which became semi-permanent outages were done by the delivery companies, not the retail providers. Retail providers can't just choose to stop selling me electricity for a few hours because they think it's too unprofitable for them, that's not allowed in the contract. My REP at the time probably had some massive costs due to customers like me which didn't lose power; they folded and sold the contract to another company.
> On a variable rate you can choose to cut yourself off or not.
Once again, you clearly don't know what actually happened in Texas. Several people I know on variable rate plans lost power for days.
But hey keep speaking falsehoods instead of actually learning what happened.
hagbard_c 1 days ago [-]
> on the flipside when the price occasionally hits ~0 charging is basically free.
Not where I live - Sweden - since there is a fixed energy tax raised on electricity. We buy electricity on the artificial 'Nord Pool' market at market rates + 2.5 öre (1 öre is 1/100 Swedish krona, at current exchange rates 1 öre is about equal to $0.009) surcharge which means that the actual electricity costs are 0 when the market rate is at -0.025 SEK/kWh. Such a 'free' kWh costs us around 0.88 SEK due to:
- 0.4280 SEK energy tax
- + 25% 'value-added tax' on top of that tax (yes, tax on tax is a thing here) makes this 0.5350 SEK/kWh
- 0.34 SEK//kWh 'transport charge' (this includes 25% value-added tax)
All this means the market rate per kWh has to fall below 0.905 SEK/kWh for electricity to actually be 'free'. This has happened but fortunately this is a rarity. Fortunately? Yes, of course. This basically only happens when there is a large discrepancy between electricity production and electricity demand/transport capacity which in turn lead to excessive voltage and frequency in the distribution network which in turn can lead to the network going off-line.
longwave 1 days ago [-]
This smells like an advert. Over the last year I've spent less money on energy by being on Octopus Tracker (which requires a smart meter) over any fixed tariff.
switch007 1 days ago [-]
Many have also not and are switching away from Agile.
It hit £1 a couple of weeks ago. Ouch
It's cheap if you use the majority of your energy in the wee hours right?
gnrl 1 days ago [-]
What's the reason to avoid smart meters?
dfawcus 23 hours ago [-]
Because they're designed for demand side load shedding.
Also to enable "surge pricing" such that folks ration of disconnect themselves, rather than pay the surge price.
Other than that, they don't really have a benefit for the user, the details one variable use could simply be monitored by manual reading on a weekly basis.
lizzas 12 hours ago [-]
Get a solar system and it can run the meter in reverse. Which is cool!
oceanplexian 1 days ago [-]
The security is broken and it broadcasts your information in the clear. I set up a RTLSDR plugged into my laptop in my kitchen and was able to read the energy utilization of my entire neighborhood after about 10min of work.
KaiserPro 1 days ago [-]
> The security is broken and it broadcasts your information in the clear. I set up a RTLSDR plugged into my laptop in my kitchen and was able to read the energy utilization of my entire neighborhood after about 10min of work.
In America, yes. Here the meter->gateway is encrypted zigbee, the gateway is over 3/4g.
However the remote contactor is more of an issue. You can be turned off remotely without much ceremony.
dfawcus 23 hours ago [-]
Where does "here" mean.
In the UK only "central" England and south transmits data over the mobile network. In northern England and Scotland, the data is transmitted over UHF radio.
KaiserPro 22 hours ago [-]
Sorry yes, I should have been more specific. The important thing is that it is reasonably well encrypted. Its not like the USA where they just yeet it in the clear for all to see.
The downside is that the non cellular backhaul is provided by arquiva, who are shits.
benj111 1 days ago [-]
what information is it actually leaking though?
If someone wanted, they could drive up to my house and see the colour of my door. The fact that someone has always been able to create a database of front door colours isn't inherently a data leak.
A UUID and electricity usage for the past half hour for a house in the general vicinity isn't useful. Even if you could put a name to that UUID, I struggle to think of how that would be a major issue. Especially considering with a thermal camera, and assuming construction details from the age and type of the house, you could already estimate your neighbours energy usage anyway.
Remote shutoff on the other hand....
krisoft 1 days ago [-]
Could you perhaps use it to monitor which houses are unoccupied?
doctorpangloss 1 days ago [-]
This is a deeply flawed but empathetic point of view. Sure, maybe the big bad smart meters are secretly conspiring against you. If things were so simple, why doesn’t someone in the government just negotiate a simple price for everyone? Why have middlemen like you at all?
vel0city 1 days ago [-]
> Avoid smart meters at all costs
I don't mind smart meters; it's nice getting the metrics and data from them.
I do avoid variable rate billing though.
philjohn 23 hours ago [-]
I'd look more into it - Octopus Agile can save you a heap of money, doubly so if you have Solar + Battery so can more effectively load balance.
And Intelligent Octopus Go is a variable rate - 7p 23:30-05:30 (and any time during the day your EV is plugged in and there's a glut of green cheap energy on the grid).
hagbard_c 1 days ago [-]
Variable billing can save you a lot of money, especially if you have your own generation capacity - PV panels, wind/water turbine etc - by making it possible to schedule maximum use during low-price (usually during the night, sometimes in the middle of the day) while minimising use during the morning and afternoon peaks. Play this right and you'll end up with negative electricity bills (in regions where small-scale producers can sell to the market, Sweden being an example of such). Contracts often stipulate that small-scale producers can not produce more kWh than they consume. By scheduling consumption so that it either falls during times of excess own production - which makes it possible to avoid paying energy taxes and transport charges or when the market rates are the lowest you end up with as low a bill as possible. At the same time you can decide to export power to the network when you happen to have excess capacity at high-price moments thereby maximising income from electricity sales. Play this right and you'll end up with net-negative electricity bills even while producing no more kWh than you consume.
1 days ago [-]
KaiserPro 1 days ago [-]
Disclosure: I have a house battery.
over the last three months, I've been paying on average 16p a unit. Thats with a car as well. On the days in the winter when solar isn't doing shit, we top up at the lowest price that day.
This kinda goes to the articles point which is to you can avoid, or limit the peak with local storage.
The issue with the battery is that its costs a shit tonne. a basic battery is going to cost something like £8k installed.
Its almost certainly cheaper to upgrade the grid compared to adding batteries to a million households. Especially as the lifespan of batteries isn't that long compared to the super grid.
Nextgrid 24 hours ago [-]
The unsaid, "quiet part" about batteries is that they're a fire hazard. No matter how "safe" they are branded as, the failure mode is disastrous and life-threatening when they do fail. It's insane that those things are being sold and installed in homes at all. But then again this is in a country where installing solar power inverters in the attic of wooden houses was also a thing (no surprises as to what the outcome of a failure would be).
Proper solution is to pool them in a dedicated buildings so you still get the benefit of locality at the neighborhood level while containing the consequences of a failure and limiting them to property damage (vs potential loss of life), but that would use up land that can otherwise be used as a way to (literally) seek rent, so it cannot happen.
KaiserPro 22 hours ago [-]
> about batteries is that they're a fire hazard.
yes, although they are statistically much safer than fridges, or combined washer driers. (unless you include cheap e-bikes or hoverboards...)
I don't have mine inside the house, its very much outside with a wooden lintel supporting a surprisingly sandy flower trough.
I also have micro inverters, because they are more efficient, and less fucking noisy. They are also, as you hint at, much safer. Partly because they are not switching ~400v DC but also because they don't need to handle as much power.
philjohn 23 hours ago [-]
Sorry, but this feels entirely wrong.
If I didn't have a smart meter my levellised cost of energy wouldn't be negative like it is now (EV tariff + Solar + Battery).
Rendered at 20:42:49 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time) with Vercel.
Another point to make is that the national wholesale price of power in the UK is based on the price of the most expensive thing in the market at any point. Which now that they shut down coal is usually gas which at this point the UK mostly imports because gas production in the North Sea fields has been petering out. It no longer is the cheap resource it once was.
Even Scotland which either exports or curtails dirt cheap wind power most of the time gets to pay expensive gas rates for their power. Why is power curtailment a thing there? Because there is no price incentive to use the power. Otherwise people might be doing sane things like charging their EVs, powering their heat pumps, etc. Instead Scotland imports gas for heating and petrol for driving their cars. At the same time they curtail wind power by the GW.
Greg Jackson from Octopus (who are the largest energy operator in the UK) has been calling for this for some time. I don't live there but his name comes up a lot in several of the clean energy podcasts I follow. Smart person that has a lot of sensible things to say on this topic.
I've got a lot of time for Octopus, which is an odd thing to say about a utility company. It's amazing how much of a difference it can make when a company makes it a. pretty easy to speak to someone when you have a problem or question (especially via email) and b. getting that problem sorted or question answered isn't so arduous you want to jump off a bridge. It once took me six months to convince British Gas to actually start charging me for my gas and electric.
Plus every time there's a price cap change or something out of the ordinary going on, they send out emails explaining it in plain English (including, as you say, reiterating the case that our pricing model is utterly daft). They also have an API for customers so you can pull your usage data, which is pretty neat.
Oddly enough I interviewed with them a few years ago (before I was a customer) and came away pretty unimpressed, I turned the offer down.
See https://www.nve.no/norwegian-energy-regulatory-authority/ret...
Octopus have started doing things like connecting properties in the north to cellular type meters (not supposed to) or using Octopus Mini hubs (connects smart meters using WiFi) as a way of trying to solve the problems
but i called them to sign up, and they told me my house was two apartments. it isn't. it never has been. and when i asked them to update their data, the operator said that isn't something she can do.
i would be a customer otherwise. sigh.
Marginal cost based pricing is extremely unintuitive to those outside of the field, but nearly all economists support it. The reason is that this eliminates a lot of the gaming in pay-as-bid designs and helps incentivize investment in more efficient/cheaper generation, while driving out less efficient clunkers that may not be profitable anymore. The reality is of course far more complicated. These markets have saved untold amounts of money by optimizing over large regions, but you can also point out "missing money" problems where there simply isn't enough investment in generators with access to firm fuel (as opposed to when we just had monopoly utilities). As a result, much of the US has an "at risk" or "very high risk" of not having enough generation during summer/winter peak.
Give me an example of a "missing money" problem. I don't think these problems exist when you have capacity markets or ancillary service markets with enough incentives to exist (e.g. payments for standing offline, ready to turn on).
The big issue with UK power markets is that there is no incentive to build a huge power line down the country right now that delivers power from Scotland (where there are huge wind resources) to the rest of the country. Texas did this (very very successfully) with the CREZ.
The UK has many many competent engineers and making the energy grid more efficient is an attractive opportunity for many.
PPAs typically require the bank to be counterparty and that requires a forecast of the prices that will be received in the market over a lengthy period. The folks at Ofgem talked about how going nodal would be nice, but that they are worried about it being such a big project (these markets typically take 5-7 years to go from design to implementation in the US) that would take focus away from what is already mostly working for them. Overall, completely changing the market structure leads to uncertainty that investors don't like.
The grandfather point is a good one. Something could possibly be done there, but not sure of the complications.
The missing money problem is very much a real thing. You're right that capacity markets and other resource adequacy mechanisms create side payments to fix this, but not everyone has that. Texas infamously had an energy-only design that hasn't worked out so well and is why they have so many ongoing proposals like the PCM to address the reliability issues. It is also why fast start pricing has been pushed so hard by FERC. Even with the capacity markets, there are numerous issues such as the extremely high prices in PJM that is leading to numerous lawsuits and condemnation from their independent market monitor. The markets work well at reducing costs, but there are a lot of ongoing issues being addressed in numerous stakeholder groups and at FERC.
Am I misunderstanding what you mean by counterparty? In the US, banks provide the tax equity and sometimes the project finance, but the PPA counterparty is a consumer, i.e. a utility or a large load (e.g. tech company data center). The forecast is necessary, but like I said, the uncertainty can be hedged.
Well, I'm talking about how linking a nodal market to a capacity or ancillary service market is necessary (i.e. purely nodal market without payments for reliability don't make sense). Texas's energy-only design would not have been saved from the 2021 disaster via a capacity market or a zonal price (gas availability dropped by 45%).
I think the PCM was always misguided and unnecessary (from just cursory understanding). I don't have time to respond to all the points about various capacity markets, but unfortunately a busy time of year, and will respond later.
We haven't seen particularly rapidly growing demand as energy efficiency improvements and the closure of heavy industry has offset the general increase in energy intensity which happens over time as economies grow.
It's also not like there is no locational signal in the current system - the costs which large generators and large consumers pay to use the transmission network do depend in part on where they are connected and how much of the peak network capacity need they are responsible for (so called "triad charges").
There are also significant revenue incentives for building embedded (ie distribution-connected) generation.
Ultimately it's hard to avoid the fact that we closed down old reliable coal and gas generation without having the right replacements in place. Governments of all political stripes didn't want to take decisions (eg on new nuclear especially but also things like pumped storage hydro) because it was easier to pretend these changes were cost free.
0. https://www.ofgem.gov.uk/publications/assessment-locational-...
While I sympathise with the notion of zonal pricing, there are side-effects to making the change, especially when power is intermittent e.g. https://www.uksteel.org/steel-news-2024/businesses-write-to-... . I'm not sure what the correct metric is.
> the national wholesale price of power in the UK is based on the price of the most expensive thing in the market at any point
How much of the electricity demand goes through a bilateral agreement (or one where generation and retail are the same organisation, like EDF)? Also I seem to recall that the "pay the highest accepted bidder model" used to be argued as lowering the bids, resulting in a lower cost to the consumer!
Braindead Germany just woke up and decided that they want to do away with nuclear and suck the icy cold teats of Mother Russia.
Wind isn't suited for inland Germany, especially in a place like Bavaria, which has the frickking Black Forest ecosystem and a mountainous terrain. Not to mention the winds are much slower there than in North Germany. For the cost calculus that wind energy provides, it's best suited for underutilized offshore areas or desert climates.
Germany forcing wind power is basically a sorry excuse they have to compensate for their energy shortfall - wind and solar can be deployed relatively faster, but of course solar doesn't make sense in Germany, hence the government is trying to shove down wind.
> which has the frickking Black Forest ecosystem
Bavaria has forests, but not the Black Forest. The Black Forest is in Baden Württemberg.
> and a mountainous terrain
Bavaria is more mountainous than northern Germany for sure, but not all of Bavaria is the alps.
> Not to mention the winds are much slower there than in North Germany. For the cost calculus that wind energy provides, it's best suited for underutilized offshore areas or desert climates.
I often see this argued, often with people citing ground wins speeds to support their statement. However, at 100m public records to show sufficient wind speeds to justify the investment in many cases. Of course offshore wind is always going to have a lower LCoE than onshore wind, but in southern states like Bavaria transmission bottlenecks and redispatch are also a concern (by the way, both of witch are exasperated by the lack of investment in transmission networks).
> but of course solar doesn't make sense in Germany,
This is just a factually wrong statement. Solar does make sense ans the business case is just getting stronger with the falling panel and storage costs. I have a residential installation (the least cost and energy effective solution) and I cover most of my electricity needs from my roof in 10 out of 12 months. People love to reference the two months to demonstrate that it is useless, but that’s a bit like saying your house is useless because you’re not at home for 10 hours a day.
While offshore wind has gotten cheaper over time, onshore wind is still cheapest. Danish LCOE in 2018 for onshore wind is 30 Euros/MWh while offshore is 46 Euros/MWh. https://ens.dk/en/press/danish-energy-agency-launches-improv...
Why the heck are people arguing about energy markets in the EU?
And that too, specifically, Germany ?
Is it targeting green energy? Is it targeting Germany ? What, why ?
> And that too, specifically, Germany ?
The discourse around the energy market in Germany is mostly centered around the inequality of the German energy market. Germany is a single price zone. However, this price is only the bidding price on the electricity market. In addition to the energy price, there are taxes and network transfer fees (Netzentgelte) that make up the final electricity price that is paid by the consumer. In the northern states the network fees are pretty high because of the high amount of wind turbines being connected to the grid, so the consumers in the northern states pay comparatively expensive prices, especially considering the vast amount of cheap wind energy that is in available in their network regions [0].
In southern states like Bavaria the network fees are less of an issue, resulting in lower energy prices overall (which sometimes makes sense because Bavaria has a lot of solar power installed). The north (eastern) states are also economically relatively weak, so the impression is that these regions essentially subsidize the "cheap" electricity for the economically well off states in southern Germany, hindering the development of new industries in those states.
Beyond those issues there is also the ever increasing cost for redispatch which is placing an increasing burden on electricity consumers [1]
> Is it targeting green energy
In Germany it is certainly targeting the green energy by proxy and the green party in particular. German politics has been a pretty shitshow ever since I turned old enough the care, but the last 3 years were super bad.
> Is it targeting Germany ?
I think Germany in particular is targeted largely because of the decision to phase out nuclear power. This is a decision that is for some reason widely unpopular nowadays, even with people who celebrated the decision 10 years ago. The stuttering transformation in Germany probably also has some side effects in countries that we're (re-) importing from, namely raising the prices due to higher demand.
With the power of hindsight you can argue that exiting coal before nuclear would have been a smarter play, but here we are.
TL;DR: Energy grid transformation is a bit of a (political) shitshow
[0]: German https://www.stromauskunft.de/strompreise/strompreis-atlas/
[1]: German https://www.ews-schoenau.de/blog/artikel/steigende-kosten-du...
But German energy policy?????
Thanks for the info.
Brain fart moment, I guess you're right. But Bavaria still has plentiful forests for the argument to be valid.
> This is just a factually wrong statement. Solar does make sense ans the business case is just getting stronger with the falling panel and storage costs.
The business case is getting stronger because of a self-inflicted wound. You guys have ballooning energy costs in Germany by sole virtue of your own policies, even though you had the panacea to those issues earlier. It's like handling a toothache with clove oil and herbs when you should be getting a root canal, even though you're rich enough to afford that.
I for one would love to see German heavy industry run on solar power. Even the cost justification won't make sense and you know that.
Europe in general is one of the worst parts of the world for renewable energy, but this just means that in a post-fossil fuel, renewable powered world, Europe will be at a competitive disadvantage in energy intensive industries, and nuclear will not save them vs. industries in sunnier places.
I was briefly a customer of theirs in the US while they were still doing variable/index/wholesale rates. They wrote a good article about this:
https://octopusenergy.com/blog/index-prices-are-under-threat...
Reagan ended it on day one with an Executive Order to repeal the controls. The lines disappeared overnight and never returned.
We had lines in 73 following OPEC's response to western involvement in Yom Kippur war. We had lines again in 79 when Iran's oil dropped out of the market. I can't recall gas lines (or reports thereof) during the intervening time. Searching didn't turn anything up.
(Anecdotally, I hung out with the Jan-Feb 1979 tractorcade. They came in from all over. Fuel prices were a concern but not availability.)
The latter spurred conservation. 1979's sharp oil price increases peaked in July 1980. Oil prices then began a long and steady fall, until the precipitous fall in Dec 1985.
Gas prices increase sharply in 1979, again in 1980 and again in 1981. In 1982 they drop to the highs that were set in 1980 and stay there, untethered to continually dropping oil prices. Until 1986, anyway.
The day after Reagan signed the EO, the lines disappeared. I have never seen them since. I pull right up to the pump every time. That's with the prices going up and down pretty much daily.
1. window power is not "dirt cheap" because of the rates the wind farms get paid. As you said they get paid the wholesale rate, and IIRC it is the greater of the wholesale rate and a minimum rate they are guaranteed by the government.
2. the reason curtailment happens UK's is because there is a lack of grid capacity to take it where it is needed. Most of the wind generating capacity is in Scotland, which has about 10% of the UK's population. This part of the problem would be helped by cheaper rates when there is excess energy, but increasing the use of wind power would mean higher bills because of 1.
The cost of fixing this will mean building grid capacity, so it means higher electricity bills.
There is a good explanation here: https://climate.benjames.io/uk-electricity-bills/
The TL;DR version is we built wind power when it was expensive, subsidised it at those prices, and now are stuck with paying for it at those prices.
"The Carbon Price Support (CPS), introduced by the UK Government in April 2013, has led to a substantial reduction in electricity generated from coal, which fell by 93% from a monthly average of 13.1 TWh in 2013 to only 0.97 TWh in 2019 (Ofgem, 2019a)."
They actually correctly priced the externalities and managed to decimate coal usage in the UK in a single decade. This increased prices accordingly.
This should be applauded, they correctly designed a scheme so that the economics aligned and coal was quickly removed. We can now focus on increasing energy production from other means and decreasing prices.
https://www.ucl.ac.uk/bartlett/sustainable/sites/bartlett/fi...
A silver lining at least. I’m old, so won’t see the benefits of this I’m sure, but it’s still nice to know we’ve made some tangible progress toward a cleaner future
They mean the rate of reduction in the metric graphed above.
https://www.trade.gov/country-commercial-guides/poland-energ...
The UKs peak carbon per kWh was at some point. Since then it's dropped at a percentage rate higher than anywhere else.
The biggest thing has been the elimination of coal even if it's with natural gas as it's a much cleaner fuel. It's still a fossil fuel, but burns with much less pollution.
as long as non-western countries keep polluting - even if we achieve net-zero nothing will change other than us feeling better and patting ourselves in the back.
a) The transition to clean energy, transportation etc by Western countries funds the development and investment in new technologies. These then filter down to developing countries when the economies of scale kick in e.g. solar panels, electric cars.
b) There are also other benefits to cleaner solutions than just trying to achieve net-zero. Reductions in pollution reduce morbidity, improve productivity, improve happiness, secure food supply etc.
Although having said that, I do note this: https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/jul/11/china-...
China has made impressive bounds in R&D but still lags in many fields of scientific research. Much of their research output is derivative in my experience of reading a fair bit of research articles in several fields.
However China does lead in many fields of manufacturing. The western countries are far behind in there. That is important in terms of global leadership in renewable energy.
b) Majority of the early R&D in solar, EVs etc came from the US. China has been vital in driving unit economics.
what about population? as that's the main driving factor for pollution - especially if you couple that with energy needs.
If you use PPP rather than nominal GDP China is actually the biggest and the EU the third biggest.
Also worth noting that, despite expansion, the EU was a smaller proportion of the worth economy before the UK left, than the EEC was after Britain joined. The trend is very much away from the West.
Its not "going to renewables". It's building the fastest amount of renewable generation, but that's new capacity, not replacement. It's also building the most coal plants and nuclear plants and anything else. It's all new capacity.
Same with cars. Most EVs and most ICes.
China is growing, and is doing so in all directions.
Why do people believe they're operating in good faith?
The UK has 30GW of wind capacity. Two weeks ago wind was generating 1.8GW (5% of demand at the time). The benefits of a power source are only somewhat theoretical when you can't rely on it being there when you need it.
The average US household uses 10,000 kWh annually ~833 kWh per month. So I'm guessing most Americans reading the article and looking at the interactive graph are thinking either: this is very cheap or very expensive, depending on whether they are assuming it's monthly or annual.
In the US the average price for 3100 kWh in California would be $1062 which is among the highest in the continental US. So right in line with GB.
In New York it would be $710. Florida it would be $454.
So it's high, but not as eye-watering as it seemed to me initially.
If you switch out the gas boiler for a heat pump, it can still heat the hot water and heat the central heating loop. But it can't provide cooling that way. There is no infrastructure in most houses to run AC ducting or refrigerant pipes.
You might think that you could simply cool the water in the central heating loop, and therefore make all of the radiators very cold, and use that to move heat out of rooms. In theory that might work, but in most houses these central heating pipes are not insulated and run under floorboards. If you make them cold then they'll cause condensation, leading to water in all kinds of small spaces, and likely leading to warping, damage, or mould.
In the UK, retrofitting AC into an existing house is a huge undertaking in most cases.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ian_Fells
Yanis Varoufakis discusses it at length here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R3bo-s_OY4Q
He characterises the energy market as a scam. I tend to agree.
It is substantially less than PG&E California prices, which average around 50-55 cents.
Intelligent Octopus Go is one example - between 23:30 and 05:30 all of your electricity usage is 7p per kWh, for the entire house. For this, you give up controlling when your EV is charged as Octopus either control it through the car, or through a compatible charger. When your car is plugged in, they build a charging schedule when the grid is cheapest and greenest. You give them an "I need to add this % of charge and it to be done by this time tomorrow morning" and it just works it out. On days with a glut of renewable generation (i.e., it's very windy, or very sunny) you will get half hour slots at 7p during the day as well.
Now comes the solar and PV element - their "outgoing octopus" export scheme pays 15p per kWh, so in the summer you can build a nice credit buffer from exported excess energy, and then in the winter, charge the battery whenever the cheap rate is active and given a big "enough" battery, most of your usage will cost you 7p + 5-10% (efficiency losses from AC/DC/AC conversion).
The payback period for Solar + Battery, especially in the UK where we aren't saddled with high tariffs for panels, is coming down markedly. It used to be well in excess of a decade, but is between 5-10 years now.
It’s about 7 years without and 10-12 with here in New Zealand.
I get some installed next month.
Having grown up in rural California I have will return the favor I get for confusing the UK with London ;)
the average UK consumer consumes 1/3 of the power consumed by a US consumer.
which makes the average UK energy consumption is equivalent to one of a low-middle income country.
energy consumption is heavily tied to prosperity.
Gaming PC Power Consumption: High-end gaming PCs can consume around 300–600 watts while gaming. Let's assume a power usage of 500 watts for simplicity.
Usage Time: Playing continuously for long hours over a quarter (about 90 days) could significantly increase electricity consumption.
500 watts = 0.5 kilowatts Playing 8 hours daily for 90 days = 720 hours 0.5 kW × 720 hours = 360 kWh Electricity Costs: Assuming a cost of £0.30 per kWh:
360 kWh × £0.30 = £108 additional cost. For a £600 increase, you'd need much higher power usage (e.g., using multiple devices like a high-end PC, large TV, and cooling systems) or running the game nearly 24/7. It’s unlikely but feasible if they had an exceptionally inefficient setup or other contributing factors.
https://abc30.com/post/california-regulators-approve-pges-5t...
Meanwhile, if they only gave a monthly figure, one could wonder if it's an average or if it's taken in January or July.
This is why there has been a big push for offshore wind in the UK, it's an island that has strong winds during winter.
We heat with a wood burner and so have very flat usage over a year. Heating requirements are lower here in Auckland, New Zealand.
People tend to eat/drink more heated things than during summer (think coffee maker and microwave ovens).
They also tend to spend more time inside due to the weather so they use things needing electricity (TV, computer, radio...).
Still since a couple of years ago bills have to be paid according to monthly (sometimes bimonthly) real consumption. I had the feeling this was even a regulatory requirement to make people aware of the real costs and encourage saving. Cannot find a reference to that now. Either I remember it wrong or the search results are just too polluted by marketing pages.
All meters are read remotely with hourly precision. An increasing share of households has spot price contracts. So the price changes every hour. Sometimes negative, sometimes 60 cents/kWh or more to mention the extremes. Switching to 15 minute pricing is on the way already
900 is a small household with limited heating, more like a condo than house.
Of course, heating an entire house with (non-heat-pump) electric heat in a cold climate is kind of crazy. Natural gas is way way cheaper. But I've seen it in old houses here in the Upper Midwest, so it's not _too_ out of the ordinary.
I'm not an expert so I could've made a mistake somewhere, but my calculations said that the system would have to survive for 10-15 years before it would pull ahead of a new gas boiler.
Last time I did the math, even with a 60% efficient furnace natural gas was cheaper than an electric heat pump. PG&E's electric rates are simply that much more expensive than their natural gas rates. Currently that's up to $0.49/kWh on the most popular rate plan vs $2.49/therm. Keep in mind that the fifth and sixth electric rate hikes of 2024 were just approved today by Newsom's regulatory body and don't factor into the price I quoted.
The average for an 80m² apartment is $1100/year.
After the 1970s fuel crises, Denmark invested in district heating and that seems to have paid off.
Type | yearly usage | average annual cost
Low (flat or 1-bedroom house / 1-2 people) | 1,800 kWh | £669.95
Medium (3-bedroom house / 2-3 people) | 2,900 kWh | £943.36
High (5-bedroom house / 4-5 people) | 4,300 kWh | £1,291.34
source: https://www.britishgas.co.uk/energy/guides/average-bill.html
The fairer measurement is probably gas and electric, and your source says ‘ According to Ofgem, the average British household has 2.4 people living in it and uses 2,700 kWh of electricity and 11,500 kWh of gas. This works out at 242 kWh of electricity and 1,000 kWh of gas per month.’
We don’t have gas at home and use about 10,000kW/h here in New Zealand.
In 2021, it was 22p/kWh and in 2022, it went to 44p/kWh.
It's come down 6-7p each year since but doubling in one year is crazy.
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2022/nov/20/unite-union...
"Supplier costs and margins" probably should take a fair bit of the blame too.
When Thatcher privatised the UK energy industry to make it "competitive", they basically created an entire complex web of middlemen. The systems they use to communicate is enormously complicated, still kind of stuck in the 90s (think CSV over FTP), and would be basically unnecessary if it were just one company.
Ok in fairness electricity makes more sense to privatise than water or railways - at least you can choose where to buy your electricity from, within reason.
They did try with the railway network (Railtrack) which was subsequently renationalised and only the train operating companies being private (and even they, like electricity generating companies, are often state-owned by other countries...).
Handing an entire national network monopoly to a single company is foolish.
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2024/dec/19/thames-wate...
Out of the £1700 average annual bill, supplier profits are £43...this is significantly higher than has been the case normally because of the volatility in energy prices. This return is also controlled by the regulator.
For scale, the cost of government subsidies is £183.
Predictably the first thing the incoming government did was: announce massive new subsidies, and create a state-owned energy company.
Network costs have also gone up because of the well-known problems with performing work on any kind of infrastructure in the UK.
The politics are part of the reason why costs are so high. We constantly rotate through insane policies that relate to the fever dreams of a lawyer. The reason why prices are high is because we have policies in place to increase prices. Companies are not making big profits (again, their returns are controlled by the regulators). Look at share prices, collapsing in the sector (unless they are getting government money).
The issue with suppliers is they are spending a ton of money dealing with complexity that shouldn't exist, so even though they aren't making a profit they're costing you unnecessarily.
The people who are making a profit are DNOs. Totally different thing.
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2023/jan/29/gas-fired-p...
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2023/aug/31/uk-electric...
https://www.current-news.co.uk/ofgem-fines-intergen-37m-for-...
Also, electricity isn't any less of a monopoly. You can choose your supplier, but they do no more than administer your metering and billing (including the government insisting they install smart meters). Your house is still connected to the same domestic grid as everybody else, and it's National Grid plc that is selecting who's generating and when, and getting paid for it.
The ones that were detected were fined, we don't know how much of that goes on but more subtly.
National Grid plc has minute-by-minute graphs. It can see you taking the piss, and its friends in Ofgem are on speed-dial.
https://www.ofgem.gov.uk/sites/default/files/2023-08/Final%2...
All the BBG article proved is the inherent problems with the system that we have. Rather than anyone being blamed for creating that system, rather than anyone being blamed for regulating that system, we get the same politically-motivated nonsense about "evil companies"...this is why we have high electricity costs. There is literally zero political incentive to lower them and, as we have seen, very high political gains from proposing fictional solutions. Guess what? We are still going to be in the exact same place in a few years because we haven't changed the thing causing this (over-reliance on renewables).
Smart meters for example, though rollout has hit snags and they've become targets for weird conspiracy theories, they are basically designed to give better real time info on electricity demand which helps with managing the grid.
This in theory should save money elsewhere.
Similarly for CfD. Yes the government may on net be paying a subsidy to get wind power built but what was the next best option? If that costs more than the CfD then that's a win.
Your EV can modulate its charging very quickly, and "background" loads like electric heating, water heater or even A/C can also be modulated somewhat quickly (though not as quick as an EV's inverter).
The meter needs however to make sure you indeed complied with the demand in order to pay you fairly (otherwise if people can defect on their obligation and still get paid, it defeats the purpose of the scheme of ensuring grid stability).
Doing this at the substation is not granular enough because then you can no longer determine who contributed what and whom to pay, which then removes any incentive for people actually participate.
In theory, this should lead to significant savings and efficiency benefits, as everyone opted into the scheme can now be used as an on-demand load to dump excess power (during which power is not only free, but the consumer may even be paid to consume that power) to smooth out supply/demand fluctuations.
Of course, the UK's smart meter scheme is administered by Capita, so don't expect any of this to actually happen, work reliably or actually lead to any kind of significant benefits, but in theory, it would be a great thing as long as it's done by competent people without corruption/mismatched incentives.
What I describe would be real-time with seconds-level granularity and operated by the grid operator as part of the distribution network and thus provider-agnostic. The idea is to (financially) incentivize people to shift their demand and production around grid fluctuations in real-time - this should allow everyone to get "more" out of the grid by better coordinating supply and production and respond to unexpected events.
If the grid is not stable then it needs upgrades. Automated austerity to cover a backlog of undone work is madness.
This let's me know when electricity is in less demand or high supply and schedule my day around it. Making my electricity bill cheaper and likewise putting less strain on the supplier which reduces their costs too
Paired with a home battery it can be pretty effective, but I don't have one and instead I just work around it and use my electrical heating more when it's cheaper and rely on my insulation to last throughout when it gets more expensive during the day. I've also started cooking dinner later to get past the evening hump.
https://imgur.com/a/Z3yCNow
I'm currently paying wholesale + 0.49 c/kWh margin for my electricity and I'm averaging out to 6.67 c/kWh (incl. margin) in December. Wholesale average has been about 6.61 c/kWh. Add transfer and tax on top of that and it's around 0.13 €/kWh total.
I live in an apartment so the two big electricity-wasters are the dishwasher and the washing machine. Delaying doing the laundry by a couple of days or running the dishwasher half a day later keeps the average much lower. And if you have an EV, just charge it during the night when wholesale prices get closer to 0€.
Intelligent Octopus Go being one example.
If you've been on a meter that reads low for a long time, a new meter (mechanical or electronic) will be a big jump.
Not sure how many years the cost is assumed to be spread over and what the ongoing running costs are but that's the per average customer cost apparently.
£88 to £143 installation cost in the 2019 analysis. [3:p.21] Smart meter hardware cost £36 to £120 [3:p.22]
£67 to £107 installation cost in the 2016 analysis. [2:p.12] £15 (in home display) + £44 electric + £57 gas + £29 comms equipment costs [2:p.10]
[1] https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/5a7f59f9ed915...
[2] https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/5a7f2f8b40f0b...
[3] https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/5d7f54c4e5274...
It's massively wasteful if they are all going to need replacing again in 10 years when 4g is switched off.
Not to mention the concerns about electricity companies remotely forcing meters into prepayment mode or switching off people's electricity supply.
3G is being discontinued first because it uses more power and is inefficient for data. 2G on the other hand uses less power, allows phones without VoLTE support to make calls, and IoT devices to use (slow) data. Over the next year or so we should see networks restricting data over 2G/EDGE for regular devices (calls only), keeping the data side just for IoT.
Direct investment with ownership - that would make money for the tax payer but would be "socialism".
Native english speaker, but definitely not a grammarian, so I can't explain why...
It's ironic that it's quite a bit cheaper to use natural gas here, since we're supposed to convert to electricity to save the planet.
Buying off the guy doing research into hexavalent chromium wasn't cheap either. Nor was keeping Willie Brown on their payroll.
Whether those people rebuild in Paradise, CA or move somewhere else with the money they received from the settlement is an entirely different proposition. This is not "subsidizing people in the country side". PG&E fucked up and now they have to pay. PG&E is choosing to pass the cost to its customers rather than eating into its profits, which is a decision that California allowed them to make.
EDIT: You and the GP I originally replied to seem to be making the argument that after PG&E burned all these people's homes down they should have been allowed to just tell them to get bent so your utility bill wouldn't go up in the city? What happens when it's /your/ home that gets burnt down? "Sorry bucko, but your house is worth $0 as it's just now a smoldering ruin. No soup for you. - Thanks PG&E"
But I will say that Paradise was in a bad state prior to the fire, simply nobody knew how bad. While a wildfire like that wasn't guaranteed, they were just one bad lightning strike away from the same disaster.
Funding FEMA, forest management services, and wildfire fighters something that isn't always prioritized and it should be.
It was a 100 year old C hook that caused the fire. Which failed in high winds. Which drove the fire. It was PG&E's responsibility to know "how bad" this was. They literally lost track of their own transmission lines.
Fundamentally the problem can be solved with management and engineering. It's entirely PG&E's fault. This was adjudicated and settled.
What PGE did was terrible, but also there's a lot to blame on CA directly too.
(plus see tristors answer as to it being passed on and not coming from profits)
Then PG&E takes the money, leaves 100 year old equipment in place, which inevitably breaks, and burns down an entire forest along with their homes.
You genuinely think these people are being "subsidized" by all this? That it's their fault the PG&E top brass didn't earn a bonus that year?
Meanwhile everyone in Sacramento can buy federally subsidized flood insurance. The federal government also built the levees surrounding the county. The entire downtown core had to be jacked up several feet due to persistent flooding. Should everyone in Sacramento move too? Should we end the insurance subsidy?
Wait till you read the facts behind this $41m bailout for 20 homes in one of the richest burbs of LA: https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2024-10-29/feds-to-...
You could argue that nobody should be living in a place guaranteed to be destroyed, whether by landslides or wildfires, but the government tried that in Palos Verdes and got sued, lost, and now is bailing out those homeowners to get out of services obligations all the same.
Suffice it to say, you have bought into a very well marketed point of view. There was a lot of ceremony to enact procedural blame on PG&E, but it obscures all the far simpler solutions, that are far more just. People in San Francisco are paying higher rates, no? So PG&E may have been responsible for something somewhere, but the liability is being borne functionally by taxpayers, via a compulsory payment for energy, to balance the books on assholes living in places at risk of wildfires with overinflated asset values. Ultimately, the government here has decided that you should get government-guaranteed-risk-free market rate returns on owner occupied real estate.
You could certainly argue that some sort of fire was inevitable, and that the fire would have been much less damaging if people hadn’t built their houses in such bad places.
But the law doesn’t really care about that. You can’t avoid liability by arguing what would have happened or what should have happened. If your negligence causes a fire and that fire destroys a house, you’re liable for it regardless.
California has contribitory negligence. If the court determined it was negligent to build or keep a house in these places and that contributed to the loss, it must determine the share of loss attributable to each party and reduce the award. In some states, a party must have be less than half at fault to receive compensation, but California doesn't have a minimum, if you are 99% at fault and the other party is 1%, you can get 1% of your loss compensated.
Yes. As I recall it, the fire was caused by downed lines that were energized during a dry spell, and the reason the lines were downed was due to negligence around maintaining the C-Hooks holding their high voltage transmission lines. PG&E knew that they needed to be replaced every so often, had a policy that dictated when they needed to be replaced, and then ignored that policy which ultimately allowed a C-Hook to fail and the energized line to start the fire. In fact, PG&E had commissioned a study as far back as 1987 to look into this issue and confirmed that these hooks had a limited lifespan.
They had clear knowledge of the issue. They had a responsibility to maintain the system to prevent the issue. They set policies around how that maintenance should be conducted. Then they willfully ignored their own policies, which lead to the issue they were responsible to prevent. That's textbook negligence.
So, yes, PG&E /did/ cause the fire. They were negligent in doing so. They are liable for the damages.
Or another way to put it, how much liability would you give the RV drivers in these two scenarios?
https://www.kktv.com/2024/07/23/rv-with-blown-tire-sparks-se...
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carr_Fire
There are so many smart people on this forum. How hard is it to understand the spelled-out-in-the-law relationship between your compulsory payment for electricity rising and the cost of the settlements?
You can't avoid legal ramifications by saying _something_ was bound to happen
Legally, maybe you are right. I honestly don't know. It doesn't seem right to me though.
https://www.nbcbayarea.com/investigations/new-images-of-pge-...
> Hong estimates that his home would have been worth about $3.6 million two years ago
Yeah, this person who was able to afford a $3.6M home sure sounds like "our most vulnerable" people. He needs a bailout for making a poor decision on buying that house in a place prone to landslides. Not the hungry kids in our schools whose parents can't afford/won't provide healthy meals.
We got money for millionaires but not hungry kids and people with chronic medical needs.
> "We’re committed to staying,” Reeves, 81, said. “We’re pretty financially committed now.”
> They are weeks into a major renovation after a fissure forced apart rooms in their home.
Their home is constantly being torn apart by the ground and yet they're committed to staying. Insanity.
It is. Insane all ratepayers are shouldering all the cost to rebuild rich people's mansions.
But sure, keep telling me their new mansion on quicksand needs a bailout and they're far more needful than hungry malnourished kids.
> now they're a teacher or something who owns a multi-million dollar home while living on 80k a year or something.
TBH, if their home is now worth millions, they should retire and move someplace cheaper. The market is telling them that land is worth way more than a lifetime of their earnings. They should capitalize on that. They're still far weather people that he vast majority of Americans, and probably the top 0.001% of people on Earth. That they failed to cash their lotto ticket in time before their mansion on the quicksand fell apart leaves me zero sympathy.
I wish I could fail at cashing in my $3.6M lotto ticket I bought for relative pennies. At least I would have been given the chance, no?
PGE costs have gone up because the state's Public Utilities Commission and many of our leaders in Sacramento are in bed with PGE. PGE has been vastly underinvesting in infrastructure development and maintenance for the last 50 years, which is at least partially the PUC's fault by letting them take profits instead of forcing them to either lower rates or reinvest. The Camp Fire shined a light on the neglect, now they have to play catch up on 50 years of deferred maintenance in many quite remote areas.
Local Sacramento ABC Station actually does some decent investigative report on this. If you are interested there is a fair amount of content to go through, as they started the investigation in 2022, the series is called Fire Power Money.
Link here https://www.abc10.com/search?q=fire+power+money
But: the settlement's law traded on the exact empathy you do right now.
Here's where we disagree: what evidence do you need to see to be convinced that nobody should be living in your community? Harsh words right? It's the exact opposite of the empathy you are trying to get through, that I appreciate.
I think smart people struggle with climate science, viewing it as strictly a set of facts, when in fact it is deeply political: it is telling us where we can and cannot live, which is as powerful as violence-protected borders.
We have pretty unequivocal evidence that tells us on the time scales of realizing real estate returns, some communities will be "worth" "$0."
Do you think we should have insurance of last resort in California? Insurers read the same scientific studies and don't protect people's homes from wildfires. It is basically immaterial in the long term which human activity causes the wildfire - as you say, the settlement is in the rear view mirror - it could have been a gender reveal party that started the flame, and then, what would you do, make that person personally liable for billions of dollars? It would be bailout all the same, poorly administered, because it is simply impossible to not "absolutely shaft" someone who says their home is worth $700k when it is actually worth $0.
It costs $42m to just bail out 20 homes in Palos Verdes, a community with very politically powerful people. It's a slow motion crisis in California.
Do you think we should bail out all the home owners in San Francisco, who bought their homes at $40,000, pay tiny Prop 13 dynastically protected rates and therefore pay little taxes to their own community, and have things nominally worth $1.4m, when an earthquake hits? That's not your community, and suddenly, oh man, that sounds expensive, man, you don't have bottomless empathy for that community. Should nobody be living in San Francisco because of the earthquake risk? Tough question.
So what if I spin some narrative that someone somewhere is responsible or liable? It is impossible for any entity to pay off all those people, including the government - it couldn't even compensate the 10x fewer victims of Camp Fire.
The solution to me is simple: don't buy a house, and if you do, don't make it your only means of savings. I can escape a wildfire, and I think I can escape an earthquake, but my life will not be ruined, as long as I do not own an overpriced home. You are talking about leaders in bed with PG&E or whatever, conspiracies, and right in front of you, you are surrounded, in your community, by people who believe their real estate gives market returns risk free.
So yes, in some ways, it'd be whole lot cheaper, and nostalgic too.
I sometimes hangout on /r/homelab, and people are talking about their 600-700W homelab setup. That would cost about 300-350$/month here.
My homelab in the basement is running an old Dell R730. It draws 200-300W depending on load. I could get something much more efficient, but then I would need to run a space heater in that room for most of the year...
1. 56G mellanox switch - 35W
2. An old box I made a router - 50W
3. A two node server - 220W each
Replacing (2) with something that idles at 10W Will probably do one node for (3) so got more ram to try out.
I wish we had cheap energy. I could add much more stuff to this lol.
The thing that kept me away from retired server hardware isn’t so much the power draw as it is the fan noise.
Switch is not too bad, but the 2u (2x 1u nodes in one 2u package with a title or 2x 1u fans) server is a total madness.
In 2021, for me this was £0.236 per day, today it's £0.60 per day.
The new one removed the ban on building wind turbines on land within 48 hours of taking power, and are pushing through new transmission lines where they were previously blocked.
Is there some sort of cultural blind-spot?
Or maybe each country has their own ups and downs, and we can accept that even if there is objectively a "better way" to do things, and a country's government can be convinced to try this better way, it stil has to bring the people along with it, and those millions of people all have all kinds of hangups and incentives that get in the way; politics are hard.
With regard to post-war food rationing, much of it was due to crop failure or stockpiles being ruined by terrible weather, and obviously the rest of Europe was ravaged and destroyed. But it was also political. Labour liked rationing and the Tories didn't, and the Tories stoked public anger at it. Clearly the UK citizens didn't like it, it was the main fight of the 1950 general election.... which Labour narrowly won. Then Labour called a snap election in 1951, won a record high voteshare, but narrowly lost to the Tories.
If you're genuinuely interested in the topic, Wikipedia has an informative timeline: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rationing_in_the_United_Kingdo...
Can't wait for people to moan about it on LBC.
To be fair the UK was completely broke and responsible for feeding half of Europe.
How so? The UK has not been self sufficient for food since before WWII. Hence food rationing for many years after the war ended.
Yes, but it's not specifically British: most nations (and many companies) I've looked at in any depth seem to have this blind spot — "not invented here" is one of several kinds of in-group favoritism.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/In-group_favoritism
Also see this with diets, religious and political affiliations, and back in the day used to see it with Mac vs. PC.
I guess there are some examples of self sabotage, such as Brexit, but no, on the whole people in the UK do not choose to be poor. Like any nation we are at the mercy of the outcomes of the decisions of our politicians and larger global effects that are out of our control.
Also, there are plenty of wealthy people in the UK. You do know that right? The UK is still around 6th in the nominal GDP rankings, so not quite an economic basket case (yet).
The UK has many policies in place that are designed to limit output. These policies are not only not unpopular, they are wildly popular and are basically impossible to change.
Housing is one, infrastructure is another. Like people say we aren't choosing to poor...HS2 is the most expensive rail project ever per mile, double the cost of the outrageously expensive one in California. Why? Because our system gives unlimited power to lawyers, consultants...we were building bat tunnels (literally tunnels for bats) that cost £100m.
And it isn't limited to this. Look at the last Budget: we are in the middle of fiscal collapse. Tens of billions for green energy projects that add to the cost of bills, huge pay rises for the public sector (where productivity is at the same level as 1997), on and on.
How can you not think this stuff is intentional? There is no reason for almost everything we are doing, it makes absolutely no sense but we are being driven off the cliff by politicians, civil servants, lawyers, media/PR, consultants who control this country...to rephrase that: you are saying that there was no reason 11th century Britain couldn't become very rich when it was funnelling all the money to monasteries that were producing nothing but fat monks? The intention of the system isn't to make Britain rich, it is make people inside the system rich...which it is doing (again, HS2 cost £1bn for a railway that didn't get built...where do you think that money goes? there is no railway but there were tens of thousands of consultants...).
92% of Americans have health insurance. About a third have insurance through the government. Rather than being a scam, most Americans don't understand just how much it costs because of the employer subsidies. At any rate, given the existence of both auto and health insurance, it is hard to go bankrupt from a car accident. Medical bankruptcy gets a lot of attention because it should never happen, not because it is common.
> the tax code is entirely for the wealthy
This makes no sense coming from the UK. The US taxation system is remarkably progressive. Marginal tax brackets, a large standard deduction, and CTC/EITC mean about ~40% of American households pay no federal income tax, or even pay a negative tax (eg., they get paid.) Meanwhile, the UK has the insanely regressive 18% VAT. This would never pass muster in the US because of its regressiveness.
Isn't it an automatic requirement of the income distribution?
The median not being the mean, and all.
This has been the case for decades. It's not news.
It is also a fairly well working market in the current system context.
I witnessed this by working for an electricity related startup and by doing all the math involved it was really hard to make the math work out right. The possibility to optimize is there but the margins are really slim, even with the large price swings in the time of use markets in EU.
Can the infrastructure be better? Absolutely, it needs ton of work, but again margins are slim and incentives for large improvements are small.
Do we have a dire need for renewable and moreover dispatchable renewable energy? Absolutely. This means more clean generation and more storage (quite hard).
Does energy feel expensive for households? Yes.
Is it actually expensive?
Could you imagine life without it?
What would it be like?
If you were in this situation, how much would you be willing to pay then?
I don't think this kind of rhetoric helps in any way those who are in "fuel poverty" (which seems to be a UK specific term, as I've never heard that in any other context) and have to choose between food or heating.
Energy is not some magic supernatural thing we're running out of. Given the right equipment it can be created out of thin air (wind and/or solar). The reason UK's energy prices are so high is decades of corruption disguised as mismanagement/incompetence, not that the absolute price of electricity is somehow high.
[0] https://climate.benjames.io/solar-off-grid/
We don't even get that much sun in summer, today sunrise was at 0842, sunset at 1540 - so not even 7 hrs of daylight. Even then it was a very dull day.
So in the period (winter) when we most need power, local solar is essentially useless.
Local wind may be better, but the economics for it don't really work - requiring 100% gas turbine backup, and high costs due to intermittent use of said turbines .
In summer, I can easily get over 20kWh per day - against a daily usage of 10kWh. I release all of my data at https://gitlab.com/edent/solar-data/
Today, in the dead of winter, I got 2.8kWh - https://bsky.app/profile/solar.bots.edent.tel/post/3ldqqrvkw... - a not insignificant amount. My battery charged overnight, so I only drew about 4kWh from the grid during the day.
You can read all about how well solar works in the UK on my blog https://shkspr.mobi/blog/tag/solar/
You are in large part confirming what GP is saying, no?
The 100% annually is of limited use when it's so skewed. Sure having local batteries are a good thing but also costly.
The only thing which makes this prospect expensive, is the lack of political will to make it not expensive. So find the political will.
A big difference though is that UK (and US) submarine reactors use enriched uranium, SMRs won't.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rolls-Royce_SMR
I addressed that difference in my second sentence. The technological competence is to a large degree transferable, the specific designs are not.
And yes, something like the SMR is exactly what I'm talking about, as long as it comes with enough commitment and momentum to actually do the job.
See: https://www.theguardian.com/news/ng-interactive/2024/may/24/...
Yes, the Australian GenCost report is about generation costs (no mention of transmission or storage in that graphic, for instance).
The https://www.electricitybills.uk breakdown shows that the cost to the consumer consists of far more than just the cost of generating electricity. Intermittents generally connect to the distribution network (given their smaller output). Intermittents necessitate transmission upgrades because wind farms are in a different location to people and require overbuilding of capacity. Intermittents require more balancing because a passing cloud or lull in the wind affects their output. Intermittents require capacity payments for the backup (methane) generators that have to keep on standby.
Plus let us not forget that the intermittent generators get revenue from RO, CfD, and FIT.
The reason we are in this position is because we looked at building nuclear in the mid-2010s, the cost would have been about half current prices, we didn't build because they were too expensive.
Nothing has been more costly than not investing in capacity.
If you look at China they design one nuke station and just copy and paste it to reduce costs, since parts can be mass produced.
Also, I don't want another Chernobyl next to me house, so those reactors had better be properly made, therefore expensive.
Here's the latest: electric instant water heaters designed as drop-in replacements for gas boilers in hydronic heating systems: https://stromltd.com
All the inconveniences of a hydronic system and resistive electric in a single solution, what's not to like?
This is the perfect "slumlord special", installed in place of more economical (and ecological) solutions such as A/C knowing full well the tenant is going to pay the resulting astronomical bills.
AFAIK resistive electrical heating is banned in Denmark, except in buildings for only occasional use (summer house etc).
Eg. An electric car that can do V2G with the following;
Power to the grid when Rate > Y and carCharge > 50%
Charge the car when Rate < X.
There's various posts on electric car groups where people have the above setup and pull in ridiculous profits. Your typical electric car can output power for a very long time during the ridiculous 10000% price hikes and on the flipside when the price occasionally hits ~0 charging is basically free.
If you have some system of power storage variable rate can make you money.
https://thedriven.io/2024/02/27/australian-evs-could-earn-12...
Hopefully you noticed that spike in prices ahead of time!
Essentially the downside you mention is worse on the fixed rate: On fixed rate you'll have no power at all - the fixed rate providers will cut power completely to protect themselves financially if the grid is in a prolonged period of extreme price (they did this in Texas). On a variable rate you can choose to cut yourself off or not.
(A similar thing happened in the UK: there weren't any brown-outs, but the spike in wholesale energy prices sent a lot of smaller retail energy companies under. If you were with one of them, like I was, you had no interruption to your supply and in fact won out compared to those on variable tarrifs: the losers were the investors in the retail companies and those who they were unable to pay).
I will agree in general though: unless you have particularly unusual energy consumption habits, or think that the energy market will go up more than the retail companies thing they will, you'll probably win out on a variable rate contract over time, especially if you have a battery to time-shift your consumption (And with the most common UK provider for this, there is still a cap on how much you'll pay, even if wholesale prices skyrocket like they did in Texas).
I'm not in the UK, but I gather my utility can do a radio controlled disconnect (they may need to come onsite to reconnect). I would hope that wouldn't be used to enable a virtual brown out for customers of a particular energy marketplace, but I think it's a capability of many communicating meters.
That is not what happened in Texas. The REPs had zero say to do a rolling brownout. "Rolling" outages which became semi-permanent outages were done by the delivery companies, not the retail providers. Retail providers can't just choose to stop selling me electricity for a few hours because they think it's too unprofitable for them, that's not allowed in the contract. My REP at the time probably had some massive costs due to customers like me which didn't lose power; they folded and sold the contract to another company.
> On a variable rate you can choose to cut yourself off or not.
Once again, you clearly don't know what actually happened in Texas. Several people I know on variable rate plans lost power for days.
But hey keep speaking falsehoods instead of actually learning what happened.
Not where I live - Sweden - since there is a fixed energy tax raised on electricity. We buy electricity on the artificial 'Nord Pool' market at market rates + 2.5 öre (1 öre is 1/100 Swedish krona, at current exchange rates 1 öre is about equal to $0.009) surcharge which means that the actual electricity costs are 0 when the market rate is at -0.025 SEK/kWh. Such a 'free' kWh costs us around 0.88 SEK due to:
- 0.4280 SEK energy tax
- + 25% 'value-added tax' on top of that tax (yes, tax on tax is a thing here) makes this 0.5350 SEK/kWh
- 0.34 SEK//kWh 'transport charge' (this includes 25% value-added tax)
All this means the market rate per kWh has to fall below 0.905 SEK/kWh for electricity to actually be 'free'. This has happened but fortunately this is a rarity. Fortunately? Yes, of course. This basically only happens when there is a large discrepancy between electricity production and electricity demand/transport capacity which in turn lead to excessive voltage and frequency in the distribution network which in turn can lead to the network going off-line.
It hit £1 a couple of weeks ago. Ouch
It's cheap if you use the majority of your energy in the wee hours right?
Also to enable "surge pricing" such that folks ration of disconnect themselves, rather than pay the surge price.
Other than that, they don't really have a benefit for the user, the details one variable use could simply be monitored by manual reading on a weekly basis.
In America, yes. Here the meter->gateway is encrypted zigbee, the gateway is over 3/4g.
However the remote contactor is more of an issue. You can be turned off remotely without much ceremony.
In the UK only "central" England and south transmits data over the mobile network. In northern England and Scotland, the data is transmitted over UHF radio.
The downside is that the non cellular backhaul is provided by arquiva, who are shits.
If someone wanted, they could drive up to my house and see the colour of my door. The fact that someone has always been able to create a database of front door colours isn't inherently a data leak.
A UUID and electricity usage for the past half hour for a house in the general vicinity isn't useful. Even if you could put a name to that UUID, I struggle to think of how that would be a major issue. Especially considering with a thermal camera, and assuming construction details from the age and type of the house, you could already estimate your neighbours energy usage anyway.
Remote shutoff on the other hand....
I don't mind smart meters; it's nice getting the metrics and data from them.
I do avoid variable rate billing though.
And Intelligent Octopus Go is a variable rate - 7p 23:30-05:30 (and any time during the day your EV is plugged in and there's a glut of green cheap energy on the grid).
over the last three months, I've been paying on average 16p a unit. Thats with a car as well. On the days in the winter when solar isn't doing shit, we top up at the lowest price that day.
This kinda goes to the articles point which is to you can avoid, or limit the peak with local storage.
The issue with the battery is that its costs a shit tonne. a basic battery is going to cost something like £8k installed.
Its almost certainly cheaper to upgrade the grid compared to adding batteries to a million households. Especially as the lifespan of batteries isn't that long compared to the super grid.
Proper solution is to pool them in a dedicated buildings so you still get the benefit of locality at the neighborhood level while containing the consequences of a failure and limiting them to property damage (vs potential loss of life), but that would use up land that can otherwise be used as a way to (literally) seek rent, so it cannot happen.
yes, although they are statistically much safer than fridges, or combined washer driers. (unless you include cheap e-bikes or hoverboards...)
I don't have mine inside the house, its very much outside with a wooden lintel supporting a surprisingly sandy flower trough.
I also have micro inverters, because they are more efficient, and less fucking noisy. They are also, as you hint at, much safer. Partly because they are not switching ~400v DC but also because they don't need to handle as much power.
If I didn't have a smart meter my levellised cost of energy wouldn't be negative like it is now (EV tariff + Solar + Battery).